immi ShowCase Magazine chair version | страница 92

SHOWCASE MAGAZINE | 2018 of your stake. • 9/1 for every N1 you bet, you will win N9. • 4/1 for every N1 you bet, you will win N4. • 1/1 for every N1 you bet, you will win N1. • 1/4 for every N4 you bet, you will win N1. What is Probability? The most basic level, betting provides you with the ability to predict the outcome of a certain event, and if your prediction is correct, you will win money. For any given event, there are a certain number of out- comes. Take rolling a dice for instance. If someone rolls a dice, there are six possible outcomes. There- fore, if you bet that the person rolls a ‘one’, there is a 16.67% chance that will happen. What betting odds merely do is present how likely the event is to happen. Bookies most frequently in the UK do this as a fraction, i.e. 4/7, whilst the vast majority also offer the ability to view them as decimals. Again, let us talk you through them. All will become clear. What About Decimals? Decimals are far more common on exchanges, such as Bet fair, but all leading betting sites do give you the option to view betting odds in this format. They are an alternative to seeing betting odds in the fraction format, and in our opinion, are easier to work out. Here is the calculation: winnings = (odds * stake) – stake. Let’s illustrate it with some examples • 9.0 can be calculated as (9.0 * N10 stake) 90 – N10 stake = N80 winnings. • 4.0 can be calculated as (4.0 * N10 stake) 40 – N10 stake = N30 winnings. • 2.5 can be calculated as (2.5 * N10 stake) 25 – N10 stake = N15 winnings. • 1.25 can be calculated as (1.25 * N10 stake) 12.50 – N10 stake =N2.50 winnings. You can use our bet calculator to help you calculate winnings. Using Betting Odds to Calculate Probability Whenever you see two numbers separated by a trailing slash, i.e. 10/1, this is known as fractional odds. From this, you can calculate how likely a given event is to happen with a calculation. For ease of ex- planation, let’s replace the numbers with letters i.e. 4/1 becomes A/B. Here is the calculation: Probabili- ty (%) = B / (A+B). • 9/1 can be calculated as 1 / (9 + 1) = 0.10 – There is a 10% chance that the event will happen. Decimal Odds Versus Fractional Odds • 4/1 can be calculated as 1 / (4 + 1) = 0.20 – There In truth, one isn’t better than the other but there is is a 20% chance that the event will happen. certainly a trend emerging towards decimal odds. • 1/1 can be calculated as 1 / (1 + 1) = 0.50 – There Historically fractional odds were used in the UK, es- is a 50% chance that the event will happen. pecially on racetracks and on the high street. There • 1/4 can be calculated as 4 / (4 + 1) = 0.80 – There are two key differences. Generally, decimal odds is a 80% chance that the event will happen. are easier to understand. Based on this, there has a Hooray! We’re making progress. Given a fraction, we movement to attract more people to horse racing by can now tell how likely (the probability) what we’re going to bet on will happen. Now let’s figure out how much money can be won using betting odds. The table below shows a range of fractional odds and how they relate to the implied chances of that selection being correct. Using Betting Odds to Calculate Winnings Betting odds allow you to calculate how much money you will win if you make a bet. Let’s use the same examples as before, with the same re- placement of numbers for let- ters, i.e. 4/1 becomes A/B. Quite simply, for every value of B that you bet, you will win A, plus the return 92