Hydrogen Tech World April 2025 | Page 41

[ industry rankings ]
Additional red flags include insider stock sales and extreme share price volatility. The Leaderboard intricately evaluates staying power and places value on financial health on par with product performance to ensure the rankings reflect overall potential for growth.
A key trend among electrolyzer manufacturers has been strategic spin-offs – companies separating from their fuel cell divisions, recognising the importance of refocusing on core competencies to reduce exposure to financial and market risks associated with non-performing segments. In contrast, this company’ s decision to diversify into a related but distinct product category could lead to excessive cash burn and misplaced priorities, with no guarantee of proportional returns.
The question then is: To what degree can electrolyzer vendors weather the current downturn, and will 2025 see an increased level of dispersion across the Leaderboard categories or even the replacement of some of the vendors in the top 16 list?
Perhaps, as part of what may be accepted as an inevitable maturation phase of the green hydrogen landscape, there will be a realignment of expectations regarding hydrogen’ s role in decarbonisation efforts. For example, in the United Kingdom, the Climate Change Committee( CCC) recently argued that hydrogen would play a‘ small but important role’ in its Net Zero by 2050 pathway.
In the EU, the much-anticipated Clean Industrial Deal reaffirmed the EU’ s commitment to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by 90 % by 2040, with a focus on energy-intensive industries and the cleantech sector. Specific hydrogenrelated measures include a third European Hydrogen Bank auction, support for domestic manufacturing, and an assessment of renewable fuels of non-biological origin( RFNBO) criteria.
Amidst all this, the Guidehouse Insights Leaderboard will continue to track the relative positioning of the top electrolyzer vendors, adapting its scope and methodology as the evolves.
Conclusion
Market volatility is nothing new, especially in nascent, emerging markets such as green hydrogen. Expectations of market consolidation, slower-than-expected market demand, and manufacturing overcapacity have been voiced in the hydrogen industry before.
To what degree, then, will such challenges come to be normalised, and to what extent are we witnessing signals of a more fundamental shift in the green hydrogen landscape – perhaps even for the energy transition itself?
Going forward, momentum in FID announcements for existing hydrogen production projects is expected to increase, with a greater emphasis on commercial execution for hydrogen electrolyzer vendors rather than on planned projects or those in earlier stages of commercial development.
Disclaimer
© 2025 Guidehouse Inc. All rights reserved. This content is for general information purposes only and should not be used as a substitute for consultation with professional advisors.
About Guidehouse Insights
Guidehouse Insights is a premier market intelligence brand globally recognised as among the most trusted cleantech research organizations. Hundreds of global clients rely on Guidehouse Insights’ proprietary forecasts, data, and market insights to assess emerging market opportunities and threats, shape go-to-market strategies, and anchor market-facing messaging with objective insights. Research on electrolyzers, fuel cells, and other hydrogen technologies can be accessed through Guidehouse Insights’ Hydrogen Innovations subscription service.
Hydrogen Tech World | Issue 21 | April 2025 41