Human Futures April 2019 | Page 66

Book Review by Leopold Mureithi Professor of Economics University of Nairobi making. The range can only be limited by human imagination and ingenuity. “The Future of Business” Editor: Rohit Talwar B ased on critical Insights by sixty futurists, future thinkers, and experts in a range of do- mains, this book’s “intention is to provide a broad perspective on the key forces, trends, develop- ments, and ideas that could redefine our world over the next two decades. The intention is to highlight how these “future factors” are shaping the opportunities, challenges, implications, and resulting choices for those driving the future of business.” (p. 1). It is divided into ten sections. Section one is a one-chapter overview of the emerging issues. The concluding chapter ties up the emerging ideas and forms section ten. The substantive chapters cover a wide range of aspects of disruptive technologies: computing, telecommunications, biotechnology, nanotechnology, genetic engineering, cyptocur- rencies. An interesting contribution is the characterization of “seven primary technologies [that] define “the possible” for our places, society’s connection to them, and the resulting creation and use of pro- perties.” (p. 192). They are transportation, infor- mation, communications, making, energy (power), learning and money (TICMELM). All “have ad- 66 HF | April 2019 All manner of business are possible in the face of rapid technological change... The range can only be limited by human imagi- nation and ingenuity. -Leopold Mureithi vanced at an exponential rate, with greater prog- ress being made over steadily decreasing time periods.” (p. 282). This is the milieu with which old and new businesses will have to engage. The book contains two major sections (8 and 9) on futures methodology such as design thinking, participative scenario planning, storifying, wild cards, critical futures thinking skills, and long term planning. Such tools are necessary in the face of rapid changes with attendant vulnerabiliy, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity (VUCA). When internalized, this would lead to futures pre- pared (foresight infused) businesses, those ready to adopt “the possible” and abandon the “used future (the future that no longer works.)” (p. 510). Yet, businesses are evolving towards “algo- rithm-only zero-employee companies.” (p. 415). Thus, technological unemployment is a rising ten- dencyin the face of “good life aspirations” (p. 167) and “a workforce that could span in age from 16 to 90 years as people’s life expectancy rises and, in order to survive, they are forced to keep wor- king long past the historical age of retirement.” (p. 1). If a large proportion of the workforce remains permanently unemployed, there will be need for unconditional “universal basic income” (p. 2) financed from the state fiscus. “The system has been trialed successfully” in some countries. (p. 157). Simultaneously, there is need to work towards “A very human business” (p. 569). Such socially a enriching future is the result of the confluence among social desirability, technical visibility, and economic viability. Technology can only enable things to be done (the how); the what and the why have to come from the realm of human values. To further human happiness (p. 82), the book calls for “digital ethics” (p. 86) and contains a model digital ethics treaty (p. 91). It argues that “every algorithm will need a humarithm” (p. 87) placing humanity at the center of the agenda, protecting what’s human. In the effort to serve humanity’s needs “in future there will be new forms of busi- ness regulations to ensure consistent corporate behavior across the globe.” (p. 539). 3D printing (additive manufacturing) was ranked as the “most disruptive technology.” (p. 435). “While the printing press gave birth to capitalism, All manner of business are possible in the face of rapid technological change: use of blockchain technology, customized forms of telecommu- nication, wireless power transmission, networ- king of infrastructure for internet of things (IOT), enhancement of humans and their ambient experiences, manufacture of cosmeceuticals, ma- king of “conscious machines” for business and society, enhancers of risk analysis and decision HF | Human Futures 67