Human Futures April 2019 | Page 32

media to form pressure groups, want to regain territory from the government and take more initiatives and sometimes provide services or products themselves (supply energy for them- selves, crowdfund local initiatives or new social startups). The consequences are not always predictable, or desirable. With this transformation comes friction, uncertainty, instability, shifting val- ues and social unrest. Rapid development also sets public values adrift, and people demand new ones. The promise of a bright fu- ture? Friction is valuable in a period of transformation; struggle, change, insecurity, failing fast, ambi- guity, new beginnings - these are essential for moving to the next phase in development. There are no quick fixes, no magic bullets, and nothing lasts forever. Since things break easily (like trust), we need to co-create systems that build on trust. People are trying to do this now with blockchain technologies – at least they are experimenting with blockchain to test if it can establish new stability in trust-based systems. Due to ICT de- velopments and the use of social media, society can move from centralized to decentralized much quicker than we could imagine even 10 years ago. The transition to networks can be seen in many different activities; examples of distributed network are the production of electricity (23) in smart grids, the collection of knowledge in large arrays, and the use of AI in diagnosing disease. New forms of democracy are being developed: Liquid democracy (24) is just one interesting example. With the help of smart technologies, block-chain and networked distribution systems, democracy in its present form can be trans- formed into something new, better suited to the societal challenges of today and tomorrow. (25) When a new generation contributes actively to these conversations, many voices are raised and relevant perspectives for a new social contract can be experimented with and explored. Students across Europe going on strike for climate raise questions about more than climate change alone – questions about the resilience of our societal institutions and systems, and our ability to take action when needed. With the strong growth in smart citizen movements, both at local and (inter)national level, the possibilities to express ideas about inclusion, contribution and gender, ra- cial, and generational equality have already had a direct and fruitful influence on how governments address citizens’ concerns. Modern ICT, smart use of social media and easy access to inter- net-based platforms make it possible for people to make their voices heard and their ideas known. This is especially true for the young. But not ex- clusively: a new generation of seniors, brought up as Baby Boomers, will use this too, while woman of all ages are joining the public conversation. There are possibilities to improve representa- tive democracy, but also to subvert it (think of Cambridge Analytica); there are forceful ways to create new forms of participatory democracy, but also distract or deny it; to broaden the range of people who can co-create such opportunities, or have access to them, or limit this access. There will be opportunities for all members of a society to make meaningful contributions to decision-making, but will they trust the system enough to do so? We need a broad conversation about new soci- etal contracts, and we also need examples to show that they could work, and what it takes to make them work. For the short term, the first les- sons learned from the sharing economy(26), the maker’s movement, “the 100 mile diet”(27), show that there are many ways forward. For the middle and long term, we need imagination, courage, rethinking – and lots of experimenting. To start the conversation: what issues could a new societal contract consider? Here are six pos- sible pointers as starting points: A new look at democracy. Perhaps something along the lines of ‘liquid democracy’, ‘reimagined democracy’(28), ‘Carbon Democracy’(29), or con- cepts yet to emerge. Universal basic assets (UBA) (30) – a fundamen- youth https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_pyramid. (2018-08-13) 22 Ola Olsson, det nya samhällskontraktet (2013), Ekonomisk Debatt 4/2013. 23 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4678120/ and also https://ay14-15.moodle.wisc.edu/prod/pluginfile. php/79470/mod_resource/content/1/smart%20distribution.pdf (2018-08-13). 24 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delegative_democracy and https://medium.com/@memetic007/liquid-democra- cy-9cf7a4cb7f. (2018-08-13) 25 https://www.democracy.earth/ and https://www.amsterdam.nl/bestuur-organisatie/meedenken/ruimte-initiatief/ see also https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/5990/2168126. pdf (2018-08-13). 26 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sharing_economy (2018-08-13). 27 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_100-Mile_Diet (2018-08-13). 28 https://www.civicus.org/documents/reports-and-publications/reimagining-democracy/democracy-for-all-en.pdf 29 See for example https://www.theguardian.com/books/booksblog/2015/dec/29/carbon-democracy-political-power-in- 32 HF | April 2019 HF | Human Futures 33