Huffington Magazine Issue 66 | Page 60

THE CARBON QUANDARY ing hundreds of new coal- and gas-fired power plants, and are poised to keep nudging global warming emissions rapidly upward over the century to come. By some estimates, global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions are expected to reach 45 billion metric tons annually by 2040, according to data published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration in July. For some perspective, that’s approaching 200 times the amount of CO₂ naturally released by all of the planet’s landbased and undersea volcanoes combined in any given year. Given all of this, atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide have recently passed 400 parts per million, a milestone that many scientists consider worrying. Such concentrations of CO₂ have not been seen on Earth for millions of years, and the rate at which these levels have risen over the last several decades is almost unprecedented in recorded history. Given the planet’s continued reliance on fossil fuels, there is currently no indication that this upward trend will stop anytime soon. And while scientists remain divided over the precise character and timing of global warming’s finer impacts, HUFFINGTON 09.15.13 the odds of more severe, destructive and costly weather patterns increases inexorably with the rising tides of CO₂. “We are a society that has inadvertently chosen the doubleblack diamond run without having learned to ski first,” says Dr. Gavin Schmidt, a climatologist and climate modeler at NASA’s Goddard “At the moment, the cost of emitting carbon, for all practical purposes, is zero.” Institute for Space Studies, referring to the 400 ppm milestone. “It will be a bumpy ride.” Tackling the problem can be achieved by any number of means. Some observers, assuming that humanity won’t soon abandon the convenience and energy density of fossil fuels, put their faith in geoengineering — a catch-all term for sci-fi solutions like seeding clouds or oceans with reflective particles to cool the entire planet. But these are untested and tend to have the air of a desperate, last-ditch effort that most experts hope dearly to avoid. Ahead of that, improvements in energy efficiency — stretching every kilowatt further — com-