HP Innovation Journal Issue 12: Summer 2019 | Page 12

2. BRIDGING THE LABOR GAP What happens when highly skilled labor is not readily available? By 2030, demand for high-skilled workers—those with university degrees or advanced vocational training—will outstrip supply in nearly all major parts of the world, creat- ing a talent gap of an estimated 85 million people 4 , or about 16% short of projected high-skilled job demand. Singapore, for example, short more than 250 thousand high-skilled workers, will have a gap of more than 1 million (one-sixth the country’s population) by 2030. This could result in $106.8 billion annual revenue losses by 2030. 5 The labor gap may accelerate the pace of workplace automa- tion, hastened by the need to increase productivity. In fact, automation may in some ways change the nature of the gap and the composition of the labor force itself. On a global level today, across all industries, machines perform about 29% of all work task hours, a figure expected to rise to 42% by 2022 . 6 The more routine the work task, the more addressable it is by automation. Automation is critical not just to helping fill the labor gap but to shifting human labor from performing rou- tine tasks to performing more high-skilled, higher-wage tasks. AUTOMATION TAKES OVER MORE OF THE TASK LOAD % of Task Hours performed by People % of Task Hours performed by Machines 100% 58% 71% AUTOMATION POTENTIAL DIRECTLY LINKED TO TYPE OF HUMAN TASK— Cross-Industry Profile Time Spent by Activity Automation Potential, % of Time Managing others 18% Applying expertise 17% Stakeholder interactions Unpredictable physical work 20% 26% Data collection Data processing Predictable physical work 42% 29% The accelerated pace of change requires workers to embrace lifelong learning and adapt to new skills and technologies. With up to half of the IT workforce expected to need retrain- ing by 2022 7 , it’s imperative for businesses and educational institutions to embrace perpetual learning and leverage new technologies and platforms to make learning a continuous cycle from classroom to boardroom. 4. Korn Ferry 5. Korn Ferry 7. World Economic Forum, 2018, Future of Work Survey HP Innovation Journal Issue 12 81% Economists have long recognized that education levels are also significant drivers for income and economic growth. Reengineering business processes with automation requires reskilling and education of the associated workforce, as new types of skills are required to capture the full benefits from automation and to fill a new category of potentially higher-wage jobs. 6. World Economic Forum, Bain, McKinsey 10 69% F See “Automation Requires a Reimagining of Education” article in this issue to learn more. P.44 +13% 2018 64% 2022