Grassroots Grassroots - Vol 20 No 1 | Page 20

NEWS Not everything needs to be a forest Too often viewed as degraded forests rather than valuable grasslands, savannas are threatened by carbon-storing afforestation programs that might not even work. Reprinted From: http://bit.ly/37tiK1t Brandon Keim I t was in Africa’s savannas that humani- ty’s ancestors evolved to walk upright— yet these savannas are threatened by a human-dominated age, one in which they’re officially designated as degraded forests and scheduled for replacement. The plight of savannas is the subject of two recent papers, one about Asia and one about Africa, but both sharing an essential concern: that people are quick to see tree-dotted grassy plains as mere ecological placeholders for the forests that ought to be there. “Asian savannas have been misinter- preted as degraded forest since the co- lonial period,” write Dushyant Kumar, an ecologist at Germany’s Senckenberg Bi- odiversity and Climate Research Centre, and colleagues in the journal Biological Conservation. “There is an urgent need for a correct interpretation.” Tropical savannas presently cover about one-fifth of Earth’s land surface, write Ku- mar’s team, but they are threatened. By suppressing naturally-occurring fire and eradicating shrub-munching large her- bivores, people have allowed forests to encroach. Savannas are also the target of affores- tation programs that promise to seques- ter carbon in newly-grown forests—but whether these will work as intended is a subject of ongoing scientific debate, and “these agendas may omit the potential negative consequences for biodiversity.” The researchers modeled the vegetative future of South Asia’s savannas from now until the century’s end under a variety of climate scenarios. Forest area is ex- pected to increase by about 44 percent; grasslands are expected to contract by nearly 40 percent. And that’s not even taking into account climate-oriented af- 19 forestation projects. “The continuous ef- fort to afforest savanna areas poses ma- jor threats to their biodiversity,” write the researchers, depriving species adapted to savanna life of their only home. “Eco- system management policies in South Asia should adopt a grass-centric per- spective and prioritize grassland and sa- vanna conservation.” Their sentiments are echoed in the jour- nal Trends in Ecology & Evolution, where researchers led by biologist William Bond of the University of Cape Town la- ment that one million square kilometers of African savanna—an area roughly the size of France and Germany combined— is now targeted for so-called restoration by the year 2030. “The target is based on the erroneous assumption that these biomes are de- forested and degraded,” they write. Among the landscapes formally mapped as degraded are the ancient savanna landscapes of the Serengeti and Kruger National Park, which have not been for- ests for several million years. More than a billion dollars have already been pledged by Germany and the World Bank; 28 African countries have signed up for the AFR100, an offshoot of the Bonn Challenge, the international forest restoration and carbon sequestra- tion initiative launched in 2011 with a goal of putting trees on 3.5 million square kilometers by 2030. Yet Bond’s team, like Kumar’s, also points to growing scientific debate over the climate impacts of af- forestation—especially if new growth is, as will likely be the case in Africa, planta- tions rather than diverse forests. They highlight recent research suggest- ing that the Bonn Challenge’s 3.5 million square kilometers would, if covered by natural forests, sequester 42 gigatons of carbon, but that figure falls to a mere 1 gigaton if the forests are the pine and eucalyptus plantations expected in much of Africa. Forests may also absorb more solar ra- diation than do grasslands, thus offset- ting the extra carbon they store. And when eucalyptus and pine plantations, which are particularly vulnerable to high- severity fires, burn, most of the carbon they store is released back into the at- mosphere. In grasslands, argues Bond’s team, most carbon is stored below ground and per- sists through fire. “Converting African savannas to plantations is pointless as a mitigation measure,” they write. Bond’s team stresses that truly degraded forests ought to be restored and exist- ing forests protected. But large-scale afforestation “is based on the wrong as- sumptions,” they argue. “Far from be- ing deforested and degraded, Africa’s savannas and grasslands existed, along- side forests, for millions of years.” Rather than covering them with trees, people might “promote energy efficient cities in this rapidly urbanizing continent so that Africa follows a less carbon-in- tensive trajectory of development than other emerging economies.” Sources Bond et al. “The Trouble with Trees: Af- forestation Plans for Africa.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 2019. Kumar et al. “Misinterpretation of Asian savannas as degraded forest can mislead management and conservation policy under climate change.” Biological Con- servation, 2019. Grassroots Vol 20 No 1 March 2020