Gold Magazine September - October 2013, Issue 30 | Page 20

interview five minutes with... Tony Barber Europe Editor, Financial Times Panelist at the 4th Limassol Economic Forum W ith fiscal adjustment programmes, rising unemployment and social outrage aimed politicians and the EU institutions, is Europe going in the wrong direction? For sure, these are the most difficult times facing Europe in economic terms since the aftermath of World War II. The failure of EU institutions and national politicians to find satisfactory answers as fast as the public wants is dividing some countries from others and is straining faith in the ideal of European unity. To that extent, Europe is going in the wrong direction. However, it is mistaken to think there is a “right” direction on which everyone can agree. The crisis of low long-term economic growth, high public and private sector debt, fragile banking systems and weak job creation is one that predates the financial turmoil that erupted in 2008. There was no agreement on common solutions before 2008 and I see no reason to believe there will be such agreement in the future – though that does not preclude more short-term fixes and medium-term good intentions of the kind we have become familiar with. Five months after the events of March 2013, which ended with the painful bail-in of the two major banks in Cyprus, how would you rate the EU’s decision-making procedures? For many years the EU has made a habit of taking its most important decisions at meetings that drag on throughout the evening and night, making the participants tired, irritable and better at haggling than arriving at optimal solutions. The first March summit on Cyprus was a classic of this kind. But, in their defence, the reason why EU policymakers go about their business in this way is that they regard the Union as a family or club in which decisions should be reached by compromise and consensus wherever possible. This explains why the initial decision on Cyprus incorporated the wish of President Nicos Anastasiades to make ordinary bank deposit holders share some of the cost of the financial rescue. But one has to ask if eurozone finance ministers would have made this unfathomably inept choice if they had been discussing Cyprus with clear heads at a normal time of day. How much is the result of the German elections likely to alter the economic debate in Europe? I doubt that the German e