Gold Magazine November - December 2013, Issue 32 | Page 82

financial analysis TIME FOR A REALITY CHECK {MONEY} FINANCIAL ANALYSIS HAS NEVER BEEN MORE IMPORTANT By Tasos Aristidou T here is no doubt that the deep economic crisis has made life difficult for every business. Consumers are less willing to spend and banks have limited the available cash flows in the economy. Therefore, in such troubled times, financial analysis is more important than ever. Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company. It usually includes an analysis of an entity’s solvency, liquidity and profitability. There is a common false presumption that financial analysis is unnecessary since a company’s financial statements are enough to enable someone to judge its performance. However, financial analysis provides much more than the standard information found in the financial statements. This is because the core of financial analysis is not to present the company’s performance and position based on international standards (IFRSs & ISAs) and the statutory regulations. Indeed, when preparing financial statements, international standards – although very important in order to avoid cases of fraud or misrepresentation – can actually create obstacles to a true understanding of the reality of a company. Moreover, the information included therein is often very generic. In contrast, the main focus of financial analysis is to compare current performance with past performance, budgets and comparable competitors in the industry. A financial analyst will go behind the numbers shown in the financial statements and understand their nature, their effect and, most importantly, see whether they are simply fireworks. A BUSINESS IS ONLY AS STRONG AS ITS CASH FLOW COST CONTROL A manager needs to know exactly what the company’s expenses are and whether they are necessary or not. Using financial analysis you can: • break down all of the company’s expenses • trace unnecessary increases in overheads and • track down expenses that the company can reduce without affecting its sales level. renders the use of financial analysis a necessity and it should not be viewed as a costly and unnecessary service. It will give you a glimpse of the company’s position, it will pop out the positives but above all, it will expose the bad habits that could make the company go bust. This is what makes financial analysis a key for every company’s survival. BOOK REVIEW INCREASED SALES = INCREASED PROFITS? When a business experiences a sales increase, managers tend to erroneously believe that the company is doing better. However in many cases, a company’s profit levels may not increase during periods of sales growth. This may be because the company is buying its products at high prices or because it does not control its administrative overheads. Financial analysis allows you to understand the extent of the company’s ability to turn sales into profits and, through a detailed overheads review, to understand the reasons why your company may not be able to achieve this. CASH IS KING! A business is only as strong as its cash flow. In today’s economy where the banks are reluctant – or even unable – to lend money, a business cannot survive for long without being solvent. Financial analysis gives you a clear picture of the firm’s cash flow position and its ability to make money. More specifically, through financial analysis you can: • know the company’s average collection period • analyse the company’s ability to meet its short-term obligations and • track down potential liquidity shortage periods. Financial analysis is not a simple task but when used correctly, it provides you with valuable feedback. Today’s economic environment AUSTERITY: THE HISTORY OF A DANGEROUS IDEA BY MARK BLYTH (OUP USA, 2013) RRP: £14.99 (£10.87 FROM AMAZON.CO.UK) B lyth has written an engaging, powerful economic history of economies that have applied austerity in the past, including the US, UK, Sweden, Germany, Japan and France in the 1920s and 1930s, Denmark and Ireland in the 1980s, and the Baltic states in 2008, demonstrating in each case that austerity did not work. It did not generate growth or reduce debt in any of these cases. He shows that the current crises in Greece, Spain, Ireland, Portugal and Italy are not due to profligate government expenditure but to more differentiated specific factors, including bailouts, recapitalizing, and adding liquidity to the countries’ broken banking systems. He makes the point that other economies cannot follow the German example of high savings and high exports, as the UK and EU seem to expect, since the whole world cannot be a net exporter. It’s impossible to read this book and still believe that austerity is the right policy for dealing with the present eurozone crisis. Will Cyprus prove to be the exception to the rule? info: Tasos Aristidou is an assistant manager at Horwath DSP (member of Crowe Horwath International). 82 Gold THE INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT, FINANCE & PROFESSIONAL SERVICES MAGAZINE OF CYPRUS money_time for reality.indd 82 07/11/2013 16:04