Gold Magazine March - April 2013, Issue 24 | Page 34

INTERVIEW P awel Dobrowolski, Ambassador of Poland to Cyprus, is not afraid to be labelled a ‘liberal’. On the controversial issue (at least in Cyprus these days) of privatisation, his stance is clear: privatisation is the best way to achieve competitiveness, lower prices for consumers and benefits for the taxpayer. Gold: The global financial crisis has affected every country in one way or another. What happened in Poland and how has your government tackled the problems? Pawel Dobrowolski: After five years of crisis we are all definitely wiser. We are now able to draw a “disaster map” showing where it started, how it spread and what country-and EU-specific measures were taken to control it. Each country has its own assessment of what had happened, and how it affected its economy. Poland has experienced continuous economic growth since 2007. There have been no signs of banking system collapse, Polish bonds performed well, and still do. One might say that we were looking at the crisis from a safe distance. The shortest answer to the question “why we were so lucky” would be the following: if one defines the euro crisis as a byproduct of the “spend more than you earn” symptom, which had plagued Europe for many decades than, paradoxically, I might say that Poland was not yet wealthy enough to fall into a trap of uncontrolled spending and “credit frenzy”. Our GDP per capita index shows enormous dynamics and yet it is still below the European average. As an emerging market we had to implement financial regulations which effectively prevented realestate bubbles or “poisoned bonds” traffic, while at the same time we did our homework: invested in the infrastructure, kept the debt-to-GDP ratio within set limits, and maintained healthy and transparent bank and financial governance. A healthy and large internal consumer market has also helped. One important measure taken by the Government I would like to mention is the extension of retirement age to 67: it regulated and stabilized the labour market in view of the aging population – another common European issue. THE EUROZONE ENTRY TARGETS ARE WITHIN OUR REACH. THE POLISH WILL GAIN THROUGH THE ADOPTION OF THE EURO Look at the economic performance of the EU27 for 2012. Poland is among the only five countries that registered growth above 2% and it is by far the largest. In the crisis-troubled EU we are the “healthy case”, which is not to say that we are trouble free. We began 2012 with over 4% growth but it has been another difficult year for the whole of Europe. The Polish economy is 70% exportbased, so Europe’s problems immediately become ours. Gold: Poland is currently one of the fastest growing countries within the EU. What are the main drivers behind your country’s positive growth environment? P.D.: I could probably say that we have survived the crisis because we work hard, possibly the hardest in Europe, but that would be too simple. Among the main drivers I will mention only a few. One is a very healthy financial and banking system: every Polish bank passed the stress test with flying colours, with its core tier 1 capital well above 10%. Another is a carefully managed public debt: its ratio to GDP is – and has to be due to constitutional restraints – below 60%. You may also add a significant internal market of 37 million, a steady investment policy with a high rate of EU funds absorption as well as substantial Foreign Direct Investment (about €10 billion annually), and the maintenance of good export levels. You might like to note that the value of our food exports alone in 2012 was equal to the entire GDP of Cyprus. THE value of our food exports alone in 2012 was equal to the entire GDP of Cyprus Gold: One of Poland’s most important tasks for the near future is the preparation of the economy to meet the strict criteria for entry into the eurozone. When does Poland plan to adopt the euro and what is the strategy it has adopted in order to meet this target? P.D.: For a country of our size and potential, the euro debate is vital. On paper we are ready to meet the criteria but, in reality it is as much a social and political debate as it is an economic one. The target is already set for 2015 and we should be ready by then but questions still remain. We are carefully studying individual cases, such as Cyprus or our neighbour Slovakia, and we are trying to balance the arguments for and against. There remains – and not only among the sceptics – a recurrent issue: What “kind” of eurozone will we be entering? The next few years will be crucial, both for the concept of the eu- 34 Gold THE INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT, FINANCE & PROFESSIONAL SERVICES MAGAZINE OF CYPRUS main_story2_Polish Ambassador.indd 34 07/03/2013 11:35