Gold Magazine January - February 2014, Issue 34 | Page 43

programmes”, noting especially to the sharp increase in youth unemployment in Greece, Cyprus and Portugal, and instructs the President of the European Parliament to forward the draft resolution to the Council and the Commission, and to the European Central Bank. They emphasise that the draft report is a basis for subsequent political discussions, delegations to relevant Member States and hearings of various stakeholders in the beginning of 2014. “It records the history and state of play, but it does not attempt to draw final conclusions or recommendations which are to be drawn following substantial work in the coming months.”  In relation to the report, the two rapporteurs, supported by Jürgen Klute (Germany) and Nils Torvalds (Finland), will be visiting Cyprus on 9-10 January and meeting, among others, House Speaker Yiannakis Omirou, Members of the House of Representatives, Finance Minister Harris Georgiades, representatives of the Central Bank of Cyprus, depositors in Laiki bank and Bank of Cyprus, former Finance Ministers and the members of the Committee of Enquiry that looked into the causes of the financial crisis in Cyprus. In the report, a proposed Motion for a European Parliament Resolution on the role and operations of the Troika (ECB, Commission and IMF) with regard to the euro area programme countries, states that the European Parliament: 1 Considers that the precise triggers for the crises differed in all four Member States; 2 Notes that, prior to the beginning of the EU-IMF assistance programme initiated in the spring of 2010, there was a dual fear associated with the ‘insolvency’ and ‘non-sustainability’ of the public finances of Greece as a result of the constantly declining competitiveness of the Greek economy and decades of imprudent fiscal policy, with the government deficit reaching 15.7% of GDP in 2009, and the debtto-GDP ratio continuing on an upward trend since 2003 when it stood at 97.4%, reaching 1297% in 2009 and 156.9% in 2012; 3 Notes that Greece entered recession in Q4 2008; notes that the country ex- perienced six quarters of negative GDP growth rate in the seven leading to the assistance programme being activated; notes that there is a close correlation between the increase in public debt and the cyclical downturn, with public debt increasing from EUR 254.7 billion at the end of Q3 2008 to EUR 314.1 billion at the end of Q2 2010; “The European Parliament deplores the unpreparedness of the EU and international institutions, including the IMF, for a sovereign debt crisis of a large magnitude inside a monetary union” 4 Notes that, at the beginning of the EUIMF assistance programme, the Portuguese economy had suffered from low GDP and productivity growth for a number of years, and that this lack of growth, combined with the impact of the global financial crisis, had resulted in a large fiscal deficit and a high debt level, driving up Portugal’s refinancing costs in capital markets to unsustainable levels; notes in this context that in 2007 Portugal’s growth rate reached 2.4%, its fiscal deficit 3.1%, its debt level 62.7% and its current account deficit 10.2% of GDP, with the unemployment rate standing at 8.1%; 5 Notes that, at the beginning of the EU-IMF assistance programme, the Irish economy had just suffered a banking crisis of unprecedented dimensions, causing Irish GDP to fall by 6.3% in 2009 (1.1% in 2010) from a positive growth level of 5% of GDP in 2007, unemployment to increase from 4.7% in 2007 to 13.7% in 2010 and - its most detrimental impact - the government balance of payments to experience a deficit in 2010 of 30.6%, down from a surplus in 2007 (0.2%); further notes in the decade prior to the assistance programme that the Irish economy experienced a prolonged period of negative real interest rates; 6 Notes that, at the beginning of the EUIMF assistance programme in 2013, speculations about the systemic instability in the Cypriot economy had been ongoing for a long time, owing inter alia to the exposure of Cypriot banks to overleveraged local property companies, the Greek debt crisis, the downgrading of Cypriot government bonds by international rating agencies, the inability to refund public expenditure from the international markets, and the initial reluctance of the government to restructure the troubled financial sector; EU-IMF financial assistance, content of the MoUs and policies implemented 7 Notes that the initial agreement between the Greek authorities on the one side and the EU and IMF on the other was adopted on 2 May 2010 in the relevant MoUs containing , the policy conditionality for EU-IMF financial assistance; further notes that, following five reviews and the insufficient success of the first programme, a second programme had to be adopted in March 2012, which has been reviewed three times since; 8 Notes that the initial agreement between the Portuguese authorities on the one side and the EU and IMF on the other was adopted on 17 May 2011 in the relevant MoUs containing the policy conditionality for EU-IMF financial assistance; further notes that the Portuguese programme has since been reviewed regularly, leading to the combined eighth and ninth quarterly reviews of Portugal’s economic adjustment programme; 9 Notes that the initial agreement between the Irish authorities and the EU and IMF was adopted on 7 December 2010 in the relevant MoUs containing the policy conditionality for EU-IMF assistance; further notes that the Irish programme has since been reviewed regularly, leading to a twelfth and final review on 9 December 2013 marking the imminent completion of the Irish programme; 10 Notes that the initial request for finan- the international investment, finance & professional services magazine of cyprus Gold 43