Gold Magazine January - February 2014, Issue 34 | Page 17

S o how was 2013? A quick look at the numbers suggests that for anyone buying shares on any of the world’s leading stock exchanges it could hardly have been better. In the United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the year up 22%, the S&P 500 gained 25% and the Nasdaq rose by 33%. In Europe, the FTSE was up by 10% and the Dax 22% higher. Even Greece rose 27%. And while we can doubtless consider Venezuela’s 452% gain a complete anomaly, Japan saw a 58% rise in the Nikkei. So if the major share indices are anything to go by, it would appear that we can finally draw a line under the global financial crisis: it started in 2008 and ended in 2013… Although the world is eager to say goodbye to five bad years, are things really that simple? Undoubtedly not. Although US stock markets have been buoyed by the smooth and steady launch of the Federal Reserve’s so-called ‘tapering’ of its Quantitative Easing programme and its commitment to continuing monetary easing “until the outlook for the labour market has improved substantially in a context of price stability,” the road to high employment, low inflation and financial stability is a long one and it may not be particularly smooth. For the countries of the eurozone, the picture is even less clear. Latvia has given the euro a vote of confidence by becoming the 18th member to adopt the common currency and Ireland has officially exited the Troika’s programme but here in Cyprus you will be hard pushed to find a great deal of optimism for the coming 12 months. This is not to say that investors will stay away. Elsewhere in this issue of Gold, you can read about what a new publication entitled Crisis Investing in Cyprus has to say about the opportunities for savvy investors. Moreover, positive stories continue to emerge – albeit sporadically – re- garding investment in property and other companies on the island. It is also a fact that many of the investment firms based in Cyprus are paying little attention to what is happening here as they advise their wealthy clients to make the most of the wealth and assets. To gain a clearer picture of what 2014 holds for investors from a Cyprus-based standpoint, we invited four financial experts to share their knowledge and advice with us: Evgenios Antoniou, Head of Asset Management, CISCO; Loucas Marangos, CEO, TFI Markets; Demetris Taxitaris ACA, Managing Director, Symmetria F.S. Ltd and Nicolas Theocharides, CEO and Managing Director, UPM Ltd. were asked to express their views on the investment potential of the main asset classes (Equities, Bonds, Commodities, Alternative Investments and Cash). Regarding Equities and Bonds, they were requested to comment on them from a regional perspective too (US, eurozone, UK, Japan, emerging markets, etc.) Finally, we asked for a brief summary of how they viewed 2013 from the investor’s standpoint and for their forecasts as regards the coming year. Together with these ideas and views, we have selected some interesting ones from international commentators and companies to fill out the picture. To those who may feel that Cyprus in 2014 is neither the place nor the time to be discussing where wealthy individuals and firms will be putting their money, given the fact that austerity measures are likely to be felt even more strongly by most of the population, we would simply note what everyone directly involved in the economy, starting with the President, has been saying for the past nine months: investment is essential if Cyprus is to restore its standard of living, its reputation and its key professional services sector. Yes, we need inward investment for this but we also need to ensure that those using Cyprus for their own investment and tax planning purposes keep faith in the island’s institutions, and in its public and private sectors. The man in the street may have little cash to invest but now we are all investing in the country’s future. ALTHOUGH THE WORLD IS EAGER TO SAY GOODBYE TO FIVE BAD YEARS, ARE THINGS REALLY THAT SIMPLE? UNDOUBTEDLY NOT. THE INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT, FINANCE & PROFESSIONAL SERVICES MAGAZINE OF CYPRUS cover_story.indd 17 Gold 17 08/01/2014 16:42