Global Security and Intelligence Studies Volume 5, Number 1, Spring / Summer 2020 | Page 44

Global Security and Intelligence Studies tentions, causing the opponent to make wrong decisions and thereby playing into one’s own hand” (Kamphuis 2018). Essentially, Maskirovka is an art of deception and psychological manipulation. Russia applied Maskirovka on a large scale and immediately utilized it against the United States following the end of WWII. Russia sought to control the way the United States perceived Soviet nuclear development capabilities and allowed for the beginning of the nuclear arms race (Ziegler 2008). In summary, understanding Maskirovka is integral for understanding how Soviet doctrine incorporates deception and an understanding of their adversary’s perceptions. How does Maskirovka fit into RCT? While Maskirovka on its own is the integrated concept of deception, RCT is more than “controlling the perceptions of adversaries”—it is the process to control their decision-making process. Deception is just one piece of the overall puzzle. RCT was founded by Vladimir Lefebvre, who, in his own words, believed the concept of disinformation in military doctrine “seemed to me too narrow, because the important thing is not so much cheating an enemy as controlling his decision-making, and to conduct reflexive control, we have to start with constructing an enemy’s model” (Murphy 2018). Clearly, Lefebvre’s formulation of RCT theory required extensive understanding of its intended victims, and the USSR did just that. In 1982, James Phillips, a senior research at the Heritage Foundation, wrote an exposé on the Institute for US and Canadian studies, a Soviet-based organization that purported to be akin to the typical independent, US, Washington-based think-tank. The true story was much more sinister. Far from being an academic institution dedicated to the furthering of cultural research for the sake of academia, the Institute primarily took direction from the Committee of the Communist Party of the USSR and, more specifically, their International Affairs department. This institute, rife with connections to the Soviet Politburo, Soviet academia, and the GRU, provided an excellent center of information to enable true usage of RCT (Phillips 1982). Russia further applied RCT in a concrete example at the height of the Cold War. During a military parade and international show of force, the Soviets went out of their way to place deliberate indicators among the show for Western military attachés and other intelligence collecting assets to observe. In particular, the Soviets manufactured multiple fake, larger intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) that appeared to support longer than currently believed maximum ranges and the capability of employing multiple warheads per ICBM. Using the tenets of RCT, Soviet planners did this with the understanding that the gathered intelligence would then make its way back to Western decision-makers and lead them to decide upon further intelligence gathering. “Getting into the heads” of said decision-makers, the Soviets had already created multiple collateral intelligence trails which would be picked up in other intelligence avenues and corroborate deliberately intended conclusions 30