GEONESIS 1

Geonesis (A G E M C O K AT I I N I T I AT I V E ) Indian Mining & Exploration Updates VOLUME 1, ISSUE 8 JULY 2014 MINING: A COMPLETE OVERHAUL IS NEEDED Mining contributes a miniscule 1.9% to the gross domestic product of India. This belies India’s strong resource position in the world as among the top five owners of coal, iron ore and bauxite. State-owned mining companies account for 70% of the production by value, while the private sector is relegated mostly to captive production with highly fragmented holding. Outdated regulations, bureaucratic delays and a hyperactive judiciary have laid low the hopes of this emerging sector. India’s iron ore production has dropped from 230 million tonnes (mt) to a mere 140mt in 2013-14, while coal imports jumped to 171mt in 2013-14 from 60-70mt in 2009-10. Anil Agarwal, chairman of the world’s eighth largest diversified mining company Vedanta Resources Plc, has openly regretted having made a $6 billion investment in aluminium plants in Odisha given its struggle to get bauxite. In fact, reverse foreign direct investment has gained momentum as companies such as Adani, Jindal, GVK and NMDC Ltd have started buying overseas mining assets. A complete overhaul is the need of the hour. The immediate starting point is to revamp the Mines and Minerals (Regulation and Development) Act, 1957. The previous government did attempt to do so but could not take it to the logical conclusion and the amendment lapsed. We have to move away from free allocation of resources to an auctioning process for efficient use of resources, reduce crony capitalism and fast-track investment. To attract investment in exploration, the government needs to bring in ‘open sky’ policy for reconnaissance permit, ensure seamless transition from prospecting licence (PL) to mining lease (ML) and guarantee rights to sell and transfer PL and ML. Streamlining the tax structure and ensuring transparency is also extremely important for attracting investment. India boasts of the highest tax rate on iron ore today in the world. A firm has to pay 10% of the sale price as royalty and 30% of it as export tax. Even railway freight is around 30% of sale price. If this is not enough, Karnataka has levied an additional 10% of the sale price as local area development charge on iron miners. Now with 80% of sale price gone, if a company makes any profit, it has to pay 33% income tax. No wonder production has dipped by almost 40% in the past two years while we continue to leave no stone unturned to kill the iron-ore mining industry. If we squeeze these companies during a commodity bull cycle, why should we even expect further investments in exploration and value-addition facilities? One positive step the government has already taken is to move away from specific tonnage-based royalty to taxes based on assessed value. Next, it put a cap on the maximum percentage of taxes, which will go a long way in removing uncertainty. To make the industry globally competitive, it is desirable to remove restrictive trade practices. The domestic steel industry is clamouring about preserving domestic iron ore lest we run out of the resource in the future. India has 25 billion tonnes of iron ore reserves at a cut-off grade of 55% iron content, or around 100 years of consumption. This would double if the cut-off grade is reduced to, say, 30%. And all this is based on some preliminary exploration done by government agencies like the Geological Survey of India. The situation appears similar to what happened in Australia in the 1960s. At that time it was estimated that Australia had only 400mt of iron ore reserves and iron ore export was banned. Now after 50 years, Australia exports almost 600mt of iron ore per year and still has 40 billion tonnes left in reserves. India is largely still an untapped potential. The large steel companies have benefited quite handsomely over the last 10 years due to access to cheap captive iron ore resource. It might make sense to give captive resources to attract investments but this also breeds inefficiency. Many steel companies have been sitting on large resources without developing them. Also, having access to large and free resources has led to sub-optimal utilization of natural resources. This is evident from large dumps of iron ore fines and blue dust at these mines. Steel Authority of India Ltd alone is supposed to be sitting on 45mt of iron ore fines and blue dust dumps. Thanks to China, we have been able to clear this mess to some extent. Faced with a mining ban in Karnataka, JSW Steel Ltd not only adapted to survive, but also became one of the most efficient steel companies in the country, despite using one of the worst quality iron ore. Infrastructure is another important challenge facing the mining industry. Railway haulage in India is six times what companies in Australia or China incur. Coal India Ltd claims it can increase production by a whopping 300mt, or almost by two-thirds, if the government can construct three railway links of 50-100km each. It seems unbelievable that something as small as this can hold our country to ransom. A new resolve is needed here. Having the same party in power both at the centre and the state might help resolve the matter. All hopes are on the new government. Can it modify the growth path?