G20 Foundation Publications Turkey 2015 | Page 22

22 TRADE & FINANCE INCLUSIVENESS, IMPLEMENTATION AND INTERNATIONAL TAX TRANSPARENCY – MOVING FORWARD ON G20’S GROWTH AND TAX AGENDAS To this day, economic growth remains unsteady and uneven across the globe. Important uncertainties such as the economic slowdown in emerging market economies, the strength of economic recovery in the euro area or overall sluggish investment give rise to financial and economic turbulences, showing the global economy to be far away from a return to long-term and sustainable growth. Gabriela Ramos, Chief of Staff & OECD G20 Sherpa “The OECD estimates that the rise in inequality in the twenty years after 1985 in 19 OECD countries reduced cumulative growth in the twenty years after 1990 by 5%.” In 2014 G20 countries have committed to taking action to “support development and Inclusive Growth, and help to reduce inequality and poverty”, including by lifting G20 GDP by an additional 2% by 2018. The OECD has since been a pivotal partner for the Turkish 2015 G20 Presidency that leads progress on this path by focusing on “the three I’s”: Inclusiveness, Implementation and Investment. The goal of inclusive growth contrasts sharply with reality. As the OECD’s latest publication on the topic, “In it together: Why Less Inequality Benefits All” shows, inequality is today at its highest levels in many G20 countries. The crisis did not make things better with the high cost to address it. Austerity meant less government spending in infrastructure and education. In the decades leading up to the crisis, progress in average living standards in emerging economies was already characterized by high levels of income inequality, despite a decline in some of them. In the most advanced G20 countries household incomes started drifting apart between the mid-1990s and the late 2000s. Today, the richest 10% of the population in G20 countries earn nearly ten (9.83) times the income of the poorest 10% - compared to 9.3 times in the 2000s. The young have been disproportionately affected, especially the unskilled. They are particularly prone to unemployment and lifelong low-paid and insecure jobs. Female participation in the workforce in OECD and G20 countries is in every single country lower than that of men, on average 30% for the G20 countries and women are less paid, between 5 and 37% in OECD countries. In parallel, concentration of wealth is on the rise as well. The poorest 40% own only 3% of total household wealth while the wealthiest 10% own half. The OECD estimates that the rise in inequality in the twenty years after 1985 in 19 OECD countries reduced cumulative growth in the twenty years after 1990 by 5%. The reason is that more equal societies are better at mobilising skills and other social resources to foster economic growth. So a first step by the G20 to address high inequality lies in assessing and improving the distributional impact of existing growth policies. An “inclusiveness filter” for the key measures put forward for the G20 National Growth Strategies should help favour policies that help reduce income inequality. Then, to tackle inequalities where they originate, we need effective tax-and-transfer systems. They are of particular importance also for the needs of low-income developing countries. Redistribution policies have been strengthened in many emerging economies, but tax systems could yet be more progressive. Increased formal employment could enlarge the tax base to also finance social protection systems. There is still scope to make these regimes more progressive. In advanced economies, tax transfer systems have become less progressive over the last two decades and less effective at redressing inequality. Lastly and related to aspects of redistribution, leakages in the tax system that mostly benefit the wealthy need to be dealt with. No inclusive growth narrative will succeed without fighting tax evasion and avoidance, to which the OECD has made an essential contribution through its work on BEPS and tax transparency. Its continuation will be crucial for the domestic resource mobilization aspect of the financing for development agenda.