G20 Foundation Publications China 2016 | Page 90

FOOD, AGRICULTURE & WATER BACK TO BASICS: G20 WATER-NOMICS, TRADE-OFFS & TRADE DEBRA TAN Director, China Water Risk In an increasingly interconnected and resource-constrained world, it is important to remember that decisions made can have unintended consequences, to not forget the basics. It is Ramadan as I am writing this and Britain has just voted to Brexit. These events have made me ponder two things on the water front: where we have come from and where we are heading. 90 Once a year, during the month of Ramadan, all Muslims fast from sunrise to sunset. A good friend recently reminded me that Ramadan originates from the Arabic root ramida or ar-ramad, which means scorching heat or dryness. In a world where for many, water is available on demand from a tap, fasting through a hot day reminds us of the value of water. Scorching heat, droughts and floods are becoming the norm and it is now well recognised that water is the resource most vulnerable to climate change. Aside from causing a less predictable water cycle, melting glaciers and rising sea levels, climate change also can exacerbate underlying water stress and scarcity. Policy, business and even consumer decisions today regarding climate change therefore also impact the future of water. Agreements achieved at COP21 are encouraging but then along comes a decision like Brexit, bringing with it the harsh reality of how difficult it will be for countries to work together. Water sustains us and helps our food grow. We use it to mine ore and generate electricity. It is required in the manufacture of urban essentials from electronics, packaged food & beverages to fashion. It is the invisible hand that sustains the global economy. An essential ingredient for development Water is necessary for development but, water resources are not evenly distributed across countries. As nations develop, demand for water rises. Aside from improving water efficiencies, economic mix can be used to manage water use. Shifting from an agricultural economy to an industrial-led one helps alleviate water stress as agriculture typically absorbs around 70% of a nation’s water use. We see many developing countries making this transition into industrial and then service-led economies. China is no different. However, as we highlighted in our recently published joint brief with the Foreign Economic Cooperation Office of China’s Ministry of Environmental Protection, “Water- nomics of the Yangtze River Economic Belt: Strategies & recommendations for green development along the river”, this is easier said than done. The agriculture sector in China alone employs 228 million people plus it is imperative for China to maintain food security. With an increasingly complex water-energy- food-climate nexus exacerbated by water pollution, China has embarked on a path to rebalance economic development and environmental protection.