Fuel Oil News December 2017 | Page 17

Moving into 2018 Discussing IMO’s 2020 legislation BY 2020, THE INTERNATIONAL MARITIME ORGANISATION (IMO) REGULATION REQUIRES SHIPPERS TO EITHER CLEAN UP EMISSIONS OR USE BUNKER FUEL CONTAINING NO MORE THAN 0.5 WT% SULPHUR RATHER THAN THE HIGH CURRENT PERMISSIBLE LEVEL OF 3.5 WT%  Earlier this year, a KBC Advanced Technologies survey of oil refiners across Europe and the Middle East revealed that over 40% needed to revisit their strategy in respect of this low sulphur bunker fuel regulation. The Surrey-based company ‘believes the burden of compliance will fall on the refiners as most shippers are unlikely to be able to afford the required emissions abatement investments’. “For the refiner, the traditional market for high sulphur residues has been marine fuel. This will largely disappear on 1st January 2020,” says Andy Roberts, global practice executive, production optimisation for KBC. “The consequent collapse in high sulphur fuel oil prices and refinery margins requires refineries to react now or risk going out of business. Shippers (and the bunker providers who provision the fuel at terminals) are relying upon the refining industry to supply the required low sulphur marine fuel and components to the market.  “The IMO’s decision, while being good for the environment and our health, is pushing the refining industry to make difficult decisions within a very short timeframe.” For an in-depth report – The IMO’s 2020 marine fuel sulphur cap and challenges for the global refining industry – www.kbcat.com/info/ imo2020/ On the agenda in Athens At last month’s ERTC conference* in Athens, Joris Mertens, senior staff consultant at KBC, not only discussed the impact of 0.5% sulphur on the bunker fuel world but also looked to ‘inspire and encourage more companies to proactively look at their businesses and the steps they will need to take to meet the sulphur fuel legislations’. Apart from the challenges, Joris pointed out that the IMO 2020 regulation will carry various opportunities for some refineries, ‘with businesses able to produce on-purpose motor fuels (components low in sulphur) not having to worry about the price hike in the market due to high demand’. Moderating the keynote leaders panel at ERTC was Alan Gelder, vice president of refining, chemicals and oil markets at Wood Mackenzie, who provided an overview as to how refiners should approach the challenging new market environment and improve their long-term viability. “Although shippers have various options, there will, no doubt, be implications for the refining sector which must work within the tight timeframe the IMO has set for the implementation of the new fuel standards,” said Alan. “The downstream sector has undergone significant changes in recent years. And, as European demand for refined products is expected to fall, refiners in the region need to ensure they can access profitable export markets.” “FOR THE BUNKER PROVIDERS – THE MIDDLEMEN BETWEEN THE REFINERIES AND THE SHIPPERS – THE IMO 2020 REGULATION PRESENTS ITS OWN CHALLENGES” The impact on bunker providers “For the bunker providers – the middlemen between the refineries and the shippers – the IMO 2020 regulation presents its own challenges,” says KBC’s Andy Roberts “They are soon to face an array of blendstock quality and compatibility issues to deliver compliant, safe and stable fuels. “Their world is about to become very complex and costly. As they look to address the challenge of managing sulphur components, margin, competition and port readiness, consolidation is taking place to reduce overheads. Some, however, are looking to make the most o f the opportunities. “Is it financially viable to exit the high sulphur fuel oil market? Or is this an opportunity for the refinery that encourages long term strategic investment for the next 20 years?” added Andy. *Hosted by Hellenic Petroleum, this year’s ERTC conference saw 597 professionals gather to discuss a range of topics including security of supply, biofuels, gasoline v diesel, collaboration between refining and the automotive sector, attracting and nurturing new talent and of course the IMO regulations. Next year’s event will be at the Grand Hyatt in Cannes (From top) KBC’s Andy Roberts and Joris Mertens and Alan Gelder of Wood Mackenzie Fuel Oil News | December 2017 17