Financial History Issue 132 (Winter 2020) | Page 20

and there were some sound reasons for expecting growth in that area. The “permit” process visible in the Daily Post ads was indeed how pro- motions of that period were started. Investors would put down very minor amounts for a permit, often the £0.05 of the ads. This permit would entitle them to become shareholders later. It was only at that later subscription stage, typically weeks afterwards, that the more substantial amounts, such as the £2 per £100 share of the Oldmixon/ Mackay fable, were asked for. That stage, reached by very few of the South Sea Bubble projects, made them more con- crete. It involved shareholder meetings, elections of management, and participa- tion of known bankers as collectors and custodians of the money being invested. A week after the nature of the spoof was unveiled—on January 2, 1720—another paper, the Weekly Packet, carried a para- graph about it. It treated the event as a humorous and praiseworthy joke, express- ing the hope it would “prove a means of preventing many innocent people being gulled of their money for the future.” A week later, Mist’s Weekly Journal had a much more detailed account. But this article also seemed to embellish the story, perhaps part of the common trend by which the fable grew and acquired its more colorful aspects as time went on. In spite of the ads that revealed the nature of the joke, and the publicity in the Weekly Packet and Mist’s Weekly Journal, speculative excitement continued grow- ing, and many investors were “gulled of their money.” It should be said that the British press during the South Sea Bubble was somewhat split in its coverage of the South Sea scheme itself, where the really big money went. However, this press was almost uniformly scornful of the myriad new projects, the “bubbles” in the language of the time. With a few exceptions, they were presented as frauds, designed just to fleece the public. But such publicity did not have much effect. Ads similar to the hoax from December 1719 proliferated as the Bubble was inflating in early 1720. Almost all were for well-defined purposes, even if those seemed to skeptical minds to be chimerical. But several featured elements of the “nobody to know what it is” mystery. For example, the May 21, 1720 issue of the Daily Post carried an ad for raising £6 mil- lion (so comparable, relative to GDP, to “The Bubblers bubbled, or the Devil take the hindmost.”  This cartoon was printed in June 1720, at the height of the South Sea Bubble. £200 billion for the UK, and $2 trillion for the U.S. today). It was “carry on a design of more general advantage to Great- Brit- ain and Ireland, &c. and of more certain profit to the encouragers thereof, than any undertaking yet set on foot: Of which further notice will be given in this paper.” Soon the atmosphere became even more frenzied, largely because of the impending passage of the Bubble Act, which outlawed most new companies. For example, on June 8, the Daily Post had an ad for a company “for carrying on a thing that will turn to the advantage of the concerned” with no indications what that “thing” was. But we should note that this was just the newspa- per ad, and it is quite possible that when prospective investors showed up in the indicated place for purchasing “permits,” they did receive at least some outlines of a business plan. If so, it would be similar to modern venture capital funds, where inves- tors typically are told in advance that it is to concentrate in the biomedical area, say. It is possible that there was even a project that did advertise itself literally as “an undertaking of great advantage, but nobody to know what it is,” since Mercu- rius Politicus for June 1720 listed it, and Political State of Great Britain for July 1720 reprinted that listing. There were also contemporary reports 18    FINANCIAL HISTORY  |  Winter 2020  | www.MoAF.org of promoters simply absconding with investors’ initial payments, as in the other element of the anecdote. For example, the London Journal of June 11, 1720, the day that the Bubble Act became law, noted: About the middle of this week two or three of our famous projectors took care to put themselves out of the reach of the new Act of Parliament for sup- pressing of bubbles; for having got their subscriptions full, they closed their books, shut up their offices, and fairly marched off with five or six hun- dred pounds a-piece in their pockets, in order to secure to themselves the sole benefit of such laudable undertakings. We don’t have any statistics on how fre- quent such occurrences were. This might be partly because, in Oldmixon’s words cited before, in the atmosphere at the peak of the Bubble, when “people were [not] in their senses,” such events were “only a matter of laughter.” A likely reason that it was “only a matter of laughter” when some promoters made off with initial deposits is that much greater sums were being abstracted from investors’ pockets by more elaborate maneuvers. A venture that proved popular would see the value of the permits soar, and any held back by the promoters in the initial stage could