FEAS Yearbook FEAS Yearbook 2014 | Page 47

FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES ANNUAL REPORT JUNE 2013 GEORGIAN STOCK EXCHANGE CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC OUTLOOK According to the World Bank forecast GDP growth in 2014 can reach 6.3%. This forecast is subject to risks. On the upside, there is the possibility of further increase of trade with Russia and of new sources of foreign investment. However, if the demand from trading partners falters, then growth could be lower. Current account balance is forecasted as -7.1% of GDP, which is 0.3% improvement compared to the previous forecast. According the IMF forecasts, average Inflation in 2014 will be around 4.5%. The 2014 budget is socially oriented yet prudent. It increases social spending to protect the most vulnerable, while continuing with the path of fiscal consolidation. Public debt is 30.1% of GDP. The fiscal deficit is projected to be 2.9% of GDP in 2014. This is consistent with the medium-term strategy to bring the deficit down to about 1.4% of GDP by 2017 and should keep Georgia’s government’s debt-to-GDP ratio on a firm downward path. In the program of the Georgian Dream - the 2012 parliamentary elections and 2013 presidential elections winner coalition, and, respectively, in the new Government’s plans important place is devoted to further improvement of the investment environment and implementation of the pension reform in the country. This provides grounds for optimism and new momentum for development of the Georgian capital market. As for the business climate in the country, the country has made remarkable strides over the last few years—the World Bank’s Doing Business Index ranks Georgia as 8th in the world, first in Eastern Europe and Central Asia and first among lower middle-income countries. Key Information Contacts National Bank of Georgia www.nbg.gov.ge Ministry of Finance of Georgia www.mof.ge Georgian Central Securities Depository www.gcsd.ge Georgian Corporate Directors Association www.gcda.ge CONTACT INFORMATION Contact Name Mrs. Ketevan Magularia E-mail [email protected] Website www.gse.ge PAGE 47