FEAS Yearbook FEAS Yearbook 2012 | Page 94

FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES ANNUAL REPORT JUNE 2012 MONTENEGRO STOCK EXCHANGE CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Political Information Montenegro has continued to make progress in addressing the political criteria. It has improved its legal framework and has strengthened its administrative and institutional capacity. Regarding human rights and the respect for and protection of minority groups, the legal and policy framework is largely in place and broadly corresponds to European and international standards. The institutional framework is largely adequate. However, there are gaps in implementation in all fields. Macroeconomic Outlook The fourth quarter of 2010, at a macroeconomic level, was the one in which recovery from the financial crisis was seen. Inflation is still at a very low level, and in the labour market only slightly positive trends can be seen so far regarding any increases in wages. Although a decrease was recorded in comparison with the same period last year, the FDI volume is at quite a high level considering the absence of any major privatization takeovers in 2010 (unlike those seen in 2009). Economic Freedom According to the report ‘Economic Freedom of the World’ published by the Heritage Foundation and the Wall Street Journal, Montenegro’s economic freedom score is 62.5, making its economy the 76th freest in the 2011 index. Its score has decreased by 1.1 points since last year, primarily because of an explosion of growth in government spending. Montenegro ranks as 34 out of 43 countries in the European region, and its overall score is above average in the world. The main concerns relate to the following areas: effectiveness of anti-discrimantion policies, freedom of expression and government relations with the civil society as well as the situation regarding displaced persons from Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Kosovo. Furthermore, Montenegro needs to intensify its efforts to consolidate its rule of law, in particular in the fight against corruption and organised crime, which still remain a serious problem. Montenegro plays a constructive role in Maintaining regional stability and in fostering good neighbourly relations with other Western Balkan and EU countries. Banking Sector Total bank assets amounted to EUR3,007.5 million at end-August 2010, EUR2,907.6 million at end-September and EUR2,917.6 million at end-October 2010. In comparison with last year, total bank assets during these three months were lower. Total bank deposits amounted to EUR1,786.2 million at end-October 2010, thus showing a month-to-previous-month growth of 0.2%. At end-September 2010, when compared with August, the total amount of deposits had decreased by 4.5%. Capital Market The Montenegro Stock Exchange in Montenegro began to operate as one in January 2011 after a technical merger of the Nex and the Montenegro Stock Exchange at the end of December 2010. Following this event, the NEX Stock Exchange ceased to exist as a legal entity. The Prime Minister of Montengro Mr Milo Djukanovic has stepped down, and new Prime Minister of Montenegro is Mr Igor Luksic, ex Minister of finance in the Government of Montenegro. Business Environment The business environment in 2010 was characterized by problems related to a lack of liquidity, a lack of financial resources, and a slowdown in the Montenegrin economy. The major laws that influenced business, which were adopted during the fourth quarter, were Law on Excise, the Law on Financing for Local Governments, the Labor Law and changes in the level of the minimum wage. Privatization and Investments Montenegro still has not used all of its potential for attracting new investment. There are three big projects that lie ahead: the construction of a highway, the construction of hydropower plants on the River Moraca and the construction of a new tourist resort on the Lustica peninsula. Additionally, the World Bank’s new strategy envisages a large amount of credit support to Montenegro in the areas of agriculture, health, higher education and science, and in the remediation of environmentally problematic issues. EBRD and IFC also plan to finance some large projects in Montenegro: a power network upgrade, the construction of a highway bypass in Podgorica and to make improvements to the water supply system in the municipality of Danilovgrad. Key Information Contacts Securities Commission of Montenegro www.scmn.cg.yu Central Depository Agency www.cda.cg.yu Central Bank of Montenegro www.cb-cg.org Ministry of Finance www.ministarstvo-finansija.cg.yu Montenegro Statistical Office www.monstat.cg.yu PAGE 92 Montenegro Officially Becomes an EU Candidate Country On Friday, December 17th, 2010, at a two-day summit in Brussels, the European Council backed a recommendation made by the European Commission to grant candidate status to Montenegro. However, this decision does not guarantee an easy journey towards joining the Union, since no date for the opening of membership talks has been set yet. This is a signal that the country, which has a population of just 630,000, needs to speed up reforms. Montenegro is the fifth candidate country in line for membership, together with Croatia, Iceland, Macedonia and Turkey. Information obtained from the Exchange.