FEAS Yearbook FEAS Yearbook 2012 | Page 43

FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES ANNUAL REPORT JUNE 2012 BELGRADE STOCK EXCHANGE 2011 ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS Serbia has persisted in its commitment to move towards the EU membership. The country, however, still faces a number of domestic and international challenges which include slow progress of the reform process while mitigating the effect of the global and euro zone economic crisis in Serbia, taking the necessary steps to combat corruption and taking responsible attitude when dealing with the situation in Kosovo, by pursuing all peaceful, political, and diplomatic means to retain Kosovo. In 2011 Serbia continued with its policy of accessing the EU and has begun to implement a broad reform agenda to advance the government’s EU integration goals. The European Commission issued its opinion on Serbia on October 12, 2011 recommending that Serbia be granted formal EU candidate status. While considerable efforts have been made in transforming the economy over the past years, the pace of reforms slowed down in the wake of the recession. A number of structural rigidities persist, restraining the country’s capacity to create a viable market economy and a business-friendly environment. The privatization and/or liquidation of public enterprises process has been ongoing since 2001. Privatization of the socially-owned companies continued in the wake of the recent crisis but at a slower pace given unfavorable market conditions. New Law on Capital market was passed and came into effect in November 2011. It is aimed at increasing investor protection, downsizing systemic risk and enhancing market liberalization. New Law on Companies followed, to harmonize with the EU Directives, latest solutions from the comparable laws and with the new Law on Capital Market, as well to remove restrictions from the process of incorporation of companies, foremost to enhance legal framework of Serbia. The estimations for Q4 2011 show that real y-o-y GDP growth at last year’s prices was only 0.8%. Taking that into account, real gross GDP growth in 2011 equaled 1.9%. Trade flows and manufacturing succumbed to spillover effects from the worsening euro zone crisis. Since the EU crisis, macroeconomic stability has been broadly maintained, although the economy has been hit by the downturn. In December 2011, industrial production declined by 0.5% relative to November, posting only a 0.1% increase y-o-y. In the period Jan- Dec 2011, relative to the same period 2010, industrial production increased by 2.1%. Broken down by sector, a y-o-y growth in December was recorded for mining (19%), electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply (14.2%), while manufacturing contracted by 4.8%. According to seasonally adjusted data, manufacturing increased in December by 0.2%. Within manufacturing, the largest positive contribution to total production came from the production of basic pharmaceutical products and preparations and coke and petroleum products. Conversely, the greatest negative contribution to total industry was provided by the production of food, chemicals and chemical products and base metals. Retail trade turnover in 2011, compared to 2010 decreased by 7.3% at current prices and by 16.7% at constant prices. In 2011 the value of exports, expressed in Euros, went up by 14.1%, while imports rose by 14.5%. Number of employees in 2011 year is lower than the previous year by 2.8%. Number of male employees decreased 4.6% and the number of employed women by 0.5%. The average net salaries and wages paid in the period Jan-Dec 2011 in the Republic of Serbia, compared to the average net salaries and wages paid in the period Jan - Dec 2010, were by 11.2% increased in nominal terms and by 0.2% increased in real terms. At end-2011, inflation came close to the upper bound of the target (6%), settling at 7% year-on- year. Despite exhibiting high short-term volatility, overall in 2011, the exchange rate of the dinar was relatively stable with minimum intervention by the NBS (net sale of EUR 45 mln). Source: NBS, Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia Key Information Contacts National Bank of Serbia www.nbs.rs Securities and Exchange Commission www.sec.gov.rs Central Securities Depository and Clearing House www.crhov.rs Ministry of Economy and Regional Development www.merr.gov.rs PAGE 41