FEAS Yearbook FEAS Yearbook 2009 | Page 72

FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES ANNUAL REPORT APRIL 2009 IRAQ STOCK EXCHANGE ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS Iraq Country Report 2008 Iraq’s economy is on track to reach GDP growth rates in 2008 of 7 per cent, driven by oil price movements, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) report in January 2008. The upbeat assessment is based on a meeting convened in Washington between the IMF and the Iraqi Ministries and other senior officials from their banking community. According to the IMF, “The fiscal stance [in Iraq] was successful in containing current spending, but fell short in the implementation of the ambitious investment program, which, combined with the difficult security situation, prevented the envisaged expansion of oil output. “Rising oil prices, however, more than offset the production shortfall, thus helping to preserve fiscal sustainability. High inflation was sharply reduced by appreciating the exchange rate, tightening monetary policy, and controlling current government spending.” An unexpected bonus was the rapid jump in net international reserves to A$23 billion, which are expected to climb even further during the year as Iraqi authorities make provision for massive inward investment flows in this year’s budget. Offsetting the 7 per cent GDP growth is inflation which is in two-digits. But it’s now falling due to improved capacity. Meanwhile their currency is currently loosely pegged to the greenback on a “crawling” basis, meaning that even in Iraq you are not safe from sub- prime contagion. On the governance front, the Iraqi authorities are aiming to strengthen public financial management and central bank accounting frameworks while also restructuring two of largest public banks. Meanwhile improving oil sector oversight arrangements are also on the agenda, especially with oil production expected to jump to 2.2 million barrels per day. These governance reforms include re- establishing the Iraq National Oil Company and reorganizing the Ministry of Oil. The Paris Club said in a statement issued in 2008 that the members of the club’s 19 state made a decision to drop the seven billion and 800 thousand dollars in debts owed by Iraq after the audit conducted by the International Monetary Fund recently to reform the Iraqi economy and the general budget for next year. This amount is the last of Iraq’s debt to the Paris Club group which renounced the final standing under the Convention four years to reduce Iraq’s debt to the Paris Club group by 80%. The Arab Monetary Fund signed the Convention on the settlement of Iraq’s debts to the Fund in Amman - Jordan on June 14, 2008 and presented to the Council a memorandum of all the measures resulting from this to be presented to the IMF Board of Governors to ratify the Convention on the Settlement According to halt Iraq’s suspension of the Fund.* * Information provided by Iraq Stock Exchange 2008 year saw many changes the first half of the year optimistic and ambitious in the face of rising oil prices to over U.S. $ 100 per barrel because of Iraq and issued 1.5 million barrels per day and imports were important for the Iraqi State. But the emergence of the global financial crisis and the escalation of the emergence of global recession led to a review in the accounts of many of the expected economic plans for 2008 and 2009 alike. Iraqi Central Bank to reduce interest rate monetary policy has adopted, for a 14% per year rather than 15%, starting the fourth of January 2009. And reduce the interest rate monetary policy, will have to adjust interest rates, deposit and lending to the Central Bank of Iraq, according to go winning in the rate of annual interest "in the light of the downward trend, which signal the consumer price index in November 2008, and which recorded annual inflation Foundation annual rate of 12.7% compared to October 2008 the Key Information Contacts Iraq Association of Securities Dealers: www.iasd-iq.org Iraq Central Bank: www.cbiraq.org PAGE 70 foundation has annual inflation rate of 13.6%. According to the rules of economic stability and mechanisms adopted by the monetary policy to stimulate activity in the credit level of support for real growth in the country, in order to maintain sustainable growth rates desirable In the gross domestic product. To the Iraqi Central Bank announced a reduction of interest rate monetary policy has adopted, for a 14% per year rather than 15%, starting the fourth of January 2009.