Exploration Insights May 2020 | Page 14

14 | Halliburton Landmark Exploration Insights | 15 of the geologic setting and methods from which the magnitude estimates were derived in each interval. This geologic review identified the most robust studies, discounted anomalous data, and identified a robust maximum short-term magnitude for each of the time intervals. Finally, as a means of validating these geologically defined maximum short-term magnitude limits, a further statistical review focused on the upper magnitude limits (Figure 3). THE MAGNITUDE OF SHORT-TERM CRETACEOUS SEA-LEVEL CHANGE Coniacian Interval 9 Turonian 95 Interval 8 Cenomanian 100 Interval 7 105 Albian 110 Magnitude limits (m) based on review of the associated publications Interval 6 120 125 130 115 67 70 75 Aptian Median 3 million years and 95% confidence limits 80 Interval 5 85 90 95 Interval 4 Barremian Median 6 million years and 95% confidence limits Hauterivian 135 Ma Epoch Valanginian 90 th percentile and 95% confidence limits Interval 3 Interval 2 Berriasian © 2020 Halliburton 120 Interval 1 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 Sea-level change (m) 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 Median sea-level change (m) from 3 and 6 million year moving average 125 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 Magnitude limits (m) based on the 90 th percentile of the dataset and review of the associated publications Figure 3> A workflow for determining the magnitude of short-term Cretaceous sea-level change (modified from figures in Ray et al., 2019). 1. Identification of publications (n=37) that provide estimates of sea-level change (m); 2. Tabulation of point data (n= 791) according to the age and magnitude of sea-level change; 3. Identification of patterns based on a statistical review of the short-term magnitude of sea- level change (moving averages resulting from a data sensitivity analysis given here, see Ray et al., 2019); 4. Determination of maximum magnitude limits based on the 90 th percentile of the entire dataset and a review of the associated literature. 130 135 140 Temperature Proxies Ice Proxies Campanian Santonian Coniacian Turonian Cenomanian 105 115 140 Magnitude Limit Maastrichtian 100 110 Age/ Stage Albian Santonian 90 Interval 10 Aptian Barremian Hauterivian Valanginian Warm Berriasian © 2020 Halliburton 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 Magnitude limits (m) based on synthesis of Cretaceous magnitude data 85 Campanian 80 75 Interval 11 Maastrichtian 70 4. Determination of upper magnitude limits The link between short-term sea-level magnitudes and climate is supported by broad trends within Cretaceous temperature proxies, such as TEX 86 and δ 18 O. These proxies illustrate that cooling is associated with larger magnitude, short-term sea-level changes, while globally warmer climates correspond to smaller magnitudes; as would be expected if eustasy were controlled by icecap volume. In addition, sedimentological proxies for ice, such as glendonites, a cool-water pseudomorph of calcite, diamictites, and dropstones, are reported for intervals of cooling (Ray et al., 2019) (Figure 4). Thus, the magnitude and rate of short-term eustatic change is strongly 3. Identification of patterns 2. Tabulation of data 67 Age/ Stage The initial review of the entire Cretaceous dataset, weighing each data point equally, gave a median value for short-term eustatic change of 12 m, hence the majority of sea-level estimates are of relatively low magnitude with few examples of large magnitude. Examining median estimates at a stage level, following standard statistical resampling procedures, demonstrated that elevated magnitude values occurred during the Valanginian, Barremian to Aptian, and Santonian to Maastrichtian, with low magnitude values in the Berriasian, Hauterivian, and Albian to Coniacian. Furthermore, maximum magnitude limits were derived that are in keeping with some estimates derived from backstripping (e.g. Sahagian et al., 1996; Miller et al., 2004), but are in contrast with some of the greater magnitudes suggested by Haq (2014) (Figure 2). Early Studies that estimate the magnitude of short-term sea-level change Ma Epoch Even though the Cretaceous eustatic limits suggested by Ray et al. (2019) are relatively modest (5 to 65 m), 50% of the Cretaceous (Valanginian, Aptian, Albian, and Maastrichtian) is associated with significant (>40 m) eustatic changes that may be considered highly characteristic of glacio-eustasy. Furthermore, in the presence of significant eustatic change, the immediately older and younger intervals of modest magnitude changes (10 to 40 m) may be interpreted as representing the growth and demise of land-grounded icecaps. Based on these criteria, it is only within the Berriasian that glacio-eustasy may be considered equivocal. 1. Identification of publications that provide estimates of the magnitudes of short-term sea-level changes 0 8 0 4 Number of Number of records records Figure 4> A comparison of the magnitude limits of Cretaceous short-term eustasy and Cretaceous climatic proxies (modified from Figure 9 of Ray et al., 2019).