ExpertEye European Automotive Report Q1 2017 | Page 3
Headlines
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Economic Climate
• European GDP recovery outperforms US but rate of growth held back by structural issues
• Almost a quarter of all Italian banks at risk of failure
• Almost a third of those under 30 years of age in Europe are in temporary contracts
• Private consumption remains the key driver of European growth
New Vehicle Sales
• Two out of the first four months of new car sales have seen negative growth for Europe’s three biggest car markets
• A 3-percentage point increase in VAT in 2018 in Italy could push sales ahead of France in 2017
• New car and commercial vehicle sales expected to carry on growing across the EU28 until 2020
• Safeguarding employment in the automotive sector likely to ensure common sense prevails in Brexit negotiations
Residual Values
• The war on diesel is likely to see used values drop by 15%-20% over the next 5 years
• Used car demand for diesel also falling creating a demand and RV risk for leasing companies and PCP funders
• Car ownership in major conurbations and amongst millennials set to impact demand and with it used values
• Legislation, bans and penalties are helping to boost electric and hybrid vehicle demand
European Automotive Report - 2017 Quarter 1
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