Exhibition World Issue 6 | Page 47

Expect a price-driven recovery Post-2022 , recovery of the exhibition industry will be price-driven in many markets . This is for two reasons . Firstly , rising inflation will affect the cost of holding exhibitions : venues , raw materials , personnel costs etc . Secondly , there was a trend of organisers offering discounts or additional space during the pandemic , which brought price per sqm below its long-term norms . We are already seeing some level of reversion to the norm . As a result , from our conversations with major organisers , it is clear that the path to recovery involves fully utilising their pricing power as the allure of face-to-face draws crowds back to exhibitions .
Macroeconomic factors will drive future growth Looking further ahead , the business of forecasting how the exhibition industry will perform is also seeing a return to pre-Covid normalcy .
Instead of looking at how governments deal with the pandemic , the largest factors driving growth are once again macroeconomic : the trajectory for the next few years will depend a lot on how the war in Ukraine progresses and its knock-on effects on supply chains and energy prices , whether double-digit inflation will spill over beyond Europe and the US to emerging markets worldwide ; and whether warning signs of another global recession come true .
The future ? Whatever happens stay ‘ customer-centric ’ Yes , there are lots of unknowns and challenges beyond our control . However , Globex found that the top exhibition organisers continue to take a forwardthinking approach . Bold moves are underway : their changing business models , embracing technology and truly becoming customer-centric organisations .
“ We forecast
the global
market to
almost reach
2019 levels by
2024 , albeit
some of this
being price-led ’”
Globex 2022
The concept of a ‘ community catalyst ’ where organisers engage with their customers all-year round is proving a real game-changer .
AMR ’ s Exhibitions 3.0 framework is also having an impact on strategic development . This framework is helping organisers secure longevity for their brands , using data , technology and insight to generate valuable customer connections across both physical and online channels . We expect this journey of transformation to create lasting value . No doubt we ’ ll see the impacts reflected in future Globex forecasts .
For more information about Globex 2022 visit : amrinternational . com / globex2022
* The 20 markets featured in Globex include : US , China , UK , Germany , France , Italy , Brazil , the Gulf Cooperation Council ( GCC ), Russia , Hong Kong , Turkey , Mexico , India , Indonesia , Singapore , Thailand , Malaysia , Vietnam , Macau and the Philippines .
Year-on-year growth (%) 2023
15
10
5
0
3.9
4.0
4.9
5.6
2.0
2.5
5.0
1.5
2.0
3.0
0.0
6.8
2.1
2.0
2.0
3.3
5.1
4.0
3.2
3.7
US
FR
UK
DE
GCC
IT
HK
SG
MO
CN
RU
MX
IN
TR
TH
ID
BR
MY
VN
PH
Mature market price growth
Emerging market price growth
Mature market inflation
Emerging market inflation
Note : Based on IMF forecasts for 2023 inflation ( as of Q2 2022 ) Turkey ’ s inflation rate is c . 40 %, it has been omitted from the chart for visual clarity Source : IMF , AMR analysis
www . exhibitionworld . co . uk Issue 6 2022 47