Exhibition World Issue 1 — 2020 | Page 21

Review Ds all round Paul Woodward surveys a year of deals, disruption and dramatic protests, and switches on some 2020 vision f 2019 was the year of deals, disruption and debate in the exhibitions industry, what does 2020 hold? To suggest more of the same with a dusting of digital makes for a dull article, although it would be rash to suggest that everything is going to change overnight to match the convenient milestone of this new decade. Of deals done, I’d have to say that the PE-backed privatisation of Tarsus was the only real ‘mega’ transaction in 2019. But, GL Events, Clarion, EasyFairs, ITE/Hyve and Tarsus itself were the star players of the year just gone, with multiple strategic investments around the world. We can be pretty sure that all of them are likely to remain active buyers in 2020. I predict we will also see the emergence of at least one or two interesting new international investors in the industry, and I expect that one more mega deal will be launched if not concluded before the year is out. Disruption has come from multiple sources including, among others, the US/China trade war, the possibly linked issue of slowing industrial/automotive industry business in Germany, and the unanticipated and potentially rather catastrophic violent protest movement in Hong Kong. Stir in the spice of the ongoing digital disruption in all aspects of marketing and you have a heady brew which will be keeping more than a few CEOs awake at night. We didn’t see the death of any major shows in 2019, but the warning signs have been gathering around a few more big brands during the course of the outgoing year, leading to much debate about w w w.exhibitionworld.co.uk what we’re doing right and what we’re doing wrong. I have previously accused the industry of a dangerous degree of complacency. By and large, I no longer think that’s an issue. But there is little agreement in the debate raging around future trends, and how we need to reorganise what we do. It remains alarming how few companies have genuinely grasped the digital challenge to enhance their services and revenue streams, and thus keeping their events relevant to their customers. The way forward is being signposted by a few market leaders who are integrating digital marketing products and services deep into Above: Paul Woodward, Chairman of Paul Woodward Advisory their event offerings. More will have to follow and to follow fast. In terms of spinning the globe and finding areas of interest in 2020, two have caught my eye. First, Egypt may be set to re-emerge as a genuinely important market in the Middle East. Once the hub of the industry in that part of the world, it has a population of almost 100 million now wildly under-served by exhibitions. At the same time, the realisation of Iran’s promise as a market seems once again set to be batted off into the long grass as it’s spat with the US and much of the rest of the Middle East turns uglier. Elsewhere, it is hard to ignore the impact of the world’s largest exhibition centre coming onstream at Shenzhen World, in China. Hong Kong’s new predilection for self- destruction couldn’t come at a better time for those tasked with filling 500,000sqm across the border. The so-called Greater Bay Area, of which Shenzhen is now clearly the fulcrum, has emerged out of the era of cheap manufacturing to become one of the world’s most important technology hubs. The new venue has already allowed one long- established Hong Kong business we thought was fading into the sunset to reinvigorate itself, and there will no doubt be more to come. “It is alarming how few companies have grasped the digital challenge to enhance their services and revenue streams.” Issue 1 2020 21