Exhibition News November 2019 | Page 23

Sector Focus were geo-cloned with the expansion of these businesses, most notably IIR (UBM/Informa). Very few independent operators are now left in the UK, with the biggest being acquired in a broad industry trend of consolidation between 2013-2015. This saw already established British players become dominant market leaders in certain geographies, such as the Hyve’s (Formerly ITE) purchase of Africa Oil Week. The exception to the rule in Europe is the sizeable Offshore Mediterranean Conference & Exhibition in Italy. UBM’s All World acquisition ($485m) saw them secure a significant foothold in the O&G space (Middle East Oil Show (MEOS), Middle East Petrotech and GEO exhibitions in Bahrain) but it is unclear what their future plans are for Petrotech, once one of the biggest events in the region. Hyve’s Africa Oil Week is having somewhat of a renaissance since its heyday in 2014. DMG dominates the O&G global market with ADIPEC and Gastec, the two biggest privately-owned events in the industry rumoured to generate around £30m per event. Clarion Events first moved into the oil and gas space with the acquisition of the Energy Exchange and World Refining Association brands at the end of the last decade. It supplemented this with the launch of the Oil Council series of shows in 2010 that have now been geo-cloned internationally. In 2015 The Global Technology Forum was acquired from Incisive Media which gave an additional downstream brand. Clarion’s focus seems different to its UK peer group with a clear bias towards higher yielding large-scale confex, though some of these events such as the World Energy Capital Assembly and ERTC event are notably larger than many industry exhibitions. The O&G market is divided into four main areas. Upstream – Oil out of the ground, Midstream – Transportation, pipeline, Downstream – Refining, petrochemical and products and Fullstream (all sectors above). The big five trends and how they influence oil and gas markets and events. 1. European O&G majors are in restructuring mode driven by shareholders being more active with ESG sustainable goals than American peer groups. Companies like Shell have now committed 15% of capex to renewable energy, while Total owns the biggest energy storage business in Europe (Safte). The knock-on impact is they are now looking at sponsoring events that can be demonstrate a desire for a lower carbon future. 2. All regions are not created equal. The US has seen production increase by 100% in little over seven years, turning the country from the world’s biggest buyer of crude to a net exporter of natural resources. This has been driven by the shale revolution, which allows the industry to extract O&G from the source rock and not the traditional reservoir. This affects African shows in particular. The region has a higher cost to break even on extraction which has been traditionally stable as the US would buy whatever they produced. This is not the case now, and some shows in those countries have suffered as a result. Canada for the same reason and industry events like Calgary Stampede and Global Petroleum Show have disappeared or continue to suffer. 3. Renewables will continue to grow but gas flexibility and cost dynamics are compelling. For instance, there is not a road in London without gas mains. Electrification can solve many issues such as harmful gases from cars, but no solution for scaled central heating has yet been discovered. Gas basic chemistry is 30% cleaner than oil and it has a key role to play for the next 25 years. This has seen gas events such as LNG hold strong numbers despite the price of oil. 4. While the profitability of upstream activities (especially offshore) has taken a hit with lower prices and the growth of renewables, this has only been good for the downstream sector where oil is turned into usable products such as fuel. Events such as those like ERTC and Petrochem (now Reuters Events) have seen strong double-digit growth as a result. 5. Availability of potential buyers for non-core businesses of majors is driving a wave of M&A mainly driven by private equity and ultra high-net-worth individuals. This has seen those events that look at the finance of the industry outperform the fundamental market for the past four years. Like oil companies themselves, event businesses are trying to move their hydrocarbon rich portfolios to reflect lower carbon events. Informa/UBM legacy Flame gas event includes an energy transition element for the first time as did and Gastec with the much publicised GPEX launch in Barcelona last year. Both events brought in industry veterans to support the launch with varying degrees of success. Event organisers are trying to find the right way to blend low- carbon products into their traditional hydrocarbon events. Some have tried through gas which is accepted as an industry ‘bridge’ fuel with significantly lower carbon than oil, whereas others have branched into full renewables via organic launch or acquisition. November — 23