European Policy Analysis Volume 2, Number 1, Spring 2016 | Page 43

European Policy Analysis 2012), and move their share of the market closer to larger, more innovative vessels closer aligned with investment banking (Schmidt-Narischkin and Thiesen 2012). Regarding investment strategies for pension funds and insurers, the current regulatory environment effectively enforces a potentially dangerous dichotomy. A growing share of assets has to be invested into the safest of bonds. This is politically welcome as it further lowers the borrowing costs of certain European governments (especially Germany), and it plays well PR-wise as it ties in with macroprudential stability goals. Yet, it forces investors who need to generate much higher guaranteed (or at least advertised) returns to take ever higher risks with the remaining part of their assets, crowding “alternative” investment markets (such as commodities, emerging market bonds, and so on) already saturated by cheap central bank money and potentially creating even larger bubbles there. In combination, this two-pronged approach raises the question whether capital-based pensions will really turn out to be superior in performance to the often discredited 1st pillar public pensions. Moreover, the administrative costs pinpointed by the Commission and the member states might actually be increased by the regulatory trend toward accounting at market prices. Ceteris paribus, this leads to pro-cyclical, short-term investment, and higher portfolio turnover from which the middlemen profit primarily—or even exclusively (cf. Woolley 2010 for a broader critique). Thus, the agenda for consumer protection might, in fact, result in provider protection. Insofar as overcoming systemic risks in financial markets at its core means politically guaranteeing banks and insurers viable business models, this is more straightforward—and more ingenuous in terms of communicating with voters—than it might seem at first glance. Undisputed as the need for additi onal retirement provision beyond the public 1st pillar has become for most Europeans if living standards are to be upheld, the open method of coordination (OMC) by and large failed to catalyze sustained efforts in that direction across the union (Lodge 2007; Wolf 2014).7 Where they occurred, the benchmarking and reporting exercises under OMC remained ineffectual to them. Thus, the Commission’s attempts at market making for a Europe-wide standardized private pension product can also be interpreted as an admission of OMC’s inadequacies. Ironically, though, the over-optimistic belief in technical fixes that hampered OMC (Lodge 2007) might also return to haunt EIOPA and the 2nd tier. Thus, the Oxera report (Oxera 2007), commissioned by Directorate General for the Internal Market and Services (meanwhile renamed Directorate General for the Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs, or DG GROW) in order to assess the effects of investment restrictions between member states on the performance of capital- 7 Only one stakeholder reacted to EIOPA’s invitation by stating that the PPP issue would be served better by being further treated within the OMC (EIOPA 2014a, gen. com. 1)—in this case because European regulation is argued to act as a disincentive to citizens’ saving efforts. 43