Estate Living Magazine Invest SA - Issue 45 September 2019 | Page 12

P R O P E R T Y & I N V E S T M E N T certainty is change, and the rate of change is accelerating. It’s the rate of change that harms you! Risk management This raises the question of the relationship between homeowners associations (HOAs) and the municipalities in which they are embedded. It helps little if the HOA develops an adequate coping strategy, but the municipality that provides fundamental services doesn’t. This speaks to the issue of cooperation and partnership that will be dealt with later. The third implication is that insurance companies are way ahead of the curve on this issue and they will be driving change long before government or scientific organisations can get their ducks in a row. The good news is that you don’t have to do all the heavy thinking about the future because risk owners have already taken this on board, and are thinking on your behalf. Anticipate big changes in policy requirements, most notably around coping strategies and due diligence that will need to be performed by people elected to act on behalf of others. So, what can home owners, bodies corporate, estate managers and HOAs do about this? Firstly, elect trustees or appoint directors and managing agents that are both competent and conversant with global warming as an issue. Denialists do not serve your best interest, and they undermine adaptive efforts by raising alternative debates using well-honed but false arguments. It’s not helpful if a person with fiduciary responsibility, elected to act in the best interests of others, spends their energy in propagating conspiracy theories about colluding scientists enriching themselves. Your best interests will be served by electing honest people, with an open mind, and the willingness to forge partnerships. Einstein said that the level of ingenuity needed to solve a problem exceeds the level of ingenuity that created the problem in the first place. What this means is that no single entity will be able to solve the problems arising from global warming. It will test our collective capacity to forge partnerships, so your elected leadership should promote this endeavour rather than undermine it. Secondly, mandate the directors and trustees to forge partnerships. This implies that the directors and/or trustees have the skills needed to create working relationships that become stronger than the individuals, and transcend personal egos. Arguably the two most important partnerships will be with your insurance provider, and with the municipality that provides basic services. In this regard, engage actively with these people. Ask the municipality to give you a written document stating the current and projected assurance of supply levels for basic services like potable water, sanitation and electricity. Ask them about the design limitations of current infrastructure such as flood control measures that will receive larger than average peak flows after extreme events. Ask them about water supply for fire management – a fire in Braamfontein on 17 April 2017 gutted an entire building simply because firefighters were confronted with dry hydrants. Finally, generate internal conversations about coping strategies, as these will grow the support base needed for viable adaptive responses – and keep an open mind. It’s easy to go down the rabbit hole in one direction only – most people think of floods, droughts or raging fires when asked about the impact of climate change. But, in reality, none of these is the most significant risk to life and human wellbeing. Changes in climate affect every living thing, and it’s the changes in biology that pose the greatest threat. The spread of toxic blue-green algae, which is releasing potent toxins into two-thirds of our national water resource impoundments, the multi-drug-resistant pathogens being incubated in our sewerage-overloaded rivers, and the primitive microbes awakening from millennia of dormancy as the permafrost in the tundra melts are likely to have effects that will increasingly be felt across society in ways few people can currently comprehend. Global warming is real, folks. We all know prevention is better than cure, but we missed that boat a few years back, so now we need to learn how to adapt because it’s too late to mitigate. Dr Anthony Turton