Estate Living Magazine Develop - Issue 44 August 2019 | Page 27

I N V E S T & d e v e l O P What happens when a fire breaks out and there is insufficient water in the hydrant system to effectively douse the flames? This happened in Braamfontein on 19 April 2017, when a building burned down and the fire brigade was unable to pump water onto it. What happens when water stored on site as backup to the regular failures becomes contaminated and people get sick as a result? What happens if someone decides to sabotage the alternative water supply by putting poison in the tanks? Who owns this risk? Is it the commercial service provider? Is it the board of trustees or directors? Is it reasonable to accept that trustees are elected in an unpaid role but assume the kind of liabilities that a company director carries, but without the salary package to offset that risk? Does this increasingly create the space for a professional MA to assume all these legal roles for which they are remunerated and held accountable by the board? One of the implications of this is growing taxation, in a variety of forms, to the point where the cost of living in a residential estate will become prohibitive. This in turn has many ramifications, with space precluding a detailed assessment of all but the most obvious – it is a growing possibility that mortgage bond holders could owe more to the bank than the property is worth on the open market. This is a serious red flag, because it suggests the emergence of a property bubble, with the potential of becoming a contagion if left unmanaged. In conclusion, let us return to the earlier question about the constitutional crisis that prevents the DWS from intervening in municipalities when sewage and potable water reticulation systems start to fail. It is clearly untenable that the Minister of Water and Sanitation is unable to give effect to the regulatory role specified for the department as the custodian of a resource that has been nationalised. Either the constitutional imperative of cooperative governance is flawed, or the interpretation of that imperative is flawed. It is simply illogical to accept that the constitution deliberately prevents regulatory intervention, because that is an obvious recipe for disaster. We therefore need to establish an independent water regulator, and this should be supported by all formal structures that operate in the HOA and BC environment. It’s in their collective best interest to do this. A process to initiate the establishment of an independent water regulator is under way, driven jointly by Water Shortage South Africa and OUTA. In the interim, it is advisable for all trustees, directors and MAs to seek legal clarification of their liabilities and risks in the rapidly changing landscape in which they operate. The third aspect to consider is that, as municipal services fail, the HOA or BC, in conjunction with the MA, will be obliged to replicate those services and provide them from alternative sources. Here we are likely to see the emergence of companies that specialise in facilities management, but with an increasingly wider portfolio. This, in turn, triggers several complications. Again, space precludes an analysis of all but the most obvious – legal liability. N F If we take water as an example, then we see that the government is legally liable for the provision of six principal elements of reliable service delivery. These are a given quality, in a given quantity at a stable pressure, to a specific address, at a precise moment in time, with a predictable price structure. Collectively these six elements define the probability of failure, but also provide legal comeback in the event of loss of life or property arising from failure. Now, under changing circumstances, the HOA or BC assumes that responsibility, but this is not clearly defined in any legal framework that I am aware of. It’s a grey area of law that needs to be fixed. Let us simply reflect on a few of the implications that arise when the HOA or BC becomes a water services provider (WSP). The second aspect to consider is that, as services fail, so too do revenue streams. This means that the loss of revenue to municipalities, typically arising from deteriorating services for which people are unwilling to pay, accelerates the rate of final collapse. Before that threshold is reached, however, municipalities are desperate to claw back revenues and so they raise taxes relentlessly. This is clearly manifest in the sale of real estate. Decades ago, municipal evaluations were almost universally well below actual market rates. Here I define market rate as the value a willing buyer is prepared to offer a willing seller for a given property. Over time, municipality-rated values have increased to the point where they are now on a par with actual market rates, and in some cases might even exceed those rates. This is an indicator of the trend I am referring to. As the gap closes, so too the probability of catastrophic failure creeps inevitably closer. Dr Anthony Turton (anthonyturton.com)