Estate Living Magazine Develop - Issue 44 August 2019 | Page 22

I N V E S T & d e v e l O P HOME GROWN By some estimates, South Africa has a housing backlog of about 2.3 million, and that number grows by about 178,000 houses a year. Despite the country’s sophisticated banking system, busy property market, generous impact investment projects and advanced construction industry, neither the public nor private sector has been able to catch up that backlog. Dire situation A lot has been said and written about South Africa’s housing crisis, and about the affordable housing solutions (some successful, others not) that hope to solve it. But amid all the noise, there’s a bewildering lack of clarity about the extent of the problem, its causes, and the implications of leaving it unsolved. In 2018, according to Statistics South Africa’s latest General Household Survey, some 81.1% of the country’s households lived in formal dwellings. But, while the percentage of households that have received some kind of government subsidy for RDP housing has increased from 5.6% in 2002 to 13.6% by 2018, there were still 13,1% of households living in informal dwellings. Dig deeper into the 2018 and 2017 surveys, and you find concerns raised by residents about the quality of those subsidised RDP houses: 10,2% of them said the walls were weak or very weak, while 9,9% rated the roofs of their dwellings as weak or very weak. Despite putting a roof over the heads of 13.6% of South Africa’s households, the RDP programme has both failed to keep pace with demand, and failed to deliver quality affordable housing. The Department of Human Settlements has even rebranded the project, renaming the RDP housing plan ‘Breaking New Ground’ (BNG). According to public interest news site GroundUp, the Department ‘wants to integrate different types of housing – rented, bought and subsidised – and provide facilities like schools, clinics and shops, to improve the quality of people’s lives. BNG houses are supposed to be larger than RDP houses, with two bedrooms, a separate bathroom with a toilet, shower and hand basin, a combined kitchen and living room area, and electricity installation, where electricity supply is available in the township.’ Serious problem But no matter how often you paint the walls or provide subsidies, the housing crisis ultimately boils down to affordability. Even with government subsidies, houses are simply too expensive for the vast majority of the population. According to the South African Affordable Residential Developers Association (SAARDA), in 2018 the cheapest newly built house in South Africa cost about R352,500. ‘Under these terms, the house would be affordable to only 34.4% of urban households. Low household incomes, poor credit records limiting access to finance, rising building costs, and scarcity of affordable, well-