eMag_Feb2020_SmartGovernance | Page 42

ECONOMY CORONA Human cost of coronavirus climbing response to the outbreak The human cost of the coronavirus outbreak is climbing across China and beyond. The economic cost is also mounting, mainly, but not only, in China. That damage is, for the most part, not due to the virus itself so much as efforts to prevent it spreading.There are strict restrictions on moving out of Wuhan, where the outbreak began, a city with a population of 11 million. The lockdown, also now extended to other parts of Hubei province, prevents business-related travel as well as the movement of goods and workers. Fear of the virus also means many people will choose to avoid activities they think might expose them to the risk of infection. So restaurants, cinemas, transport providers, hotels and shops are all quickly feeling the impact. And the timing of the health crisis, during the lunar New Year break, means those industries have been particularly exposed to commercial losses. The New Year holiday was extended for a few days by the national Chinese authorities and there have been longer extensions imposed by some provincial authorities, delaying the return to work for some businesses even longer. Any delay resuming production and selling goods is likely to lead to cash-flow problems, especially for smaller operations. Many companies will have to continue paying bills, including employees' pay. And for manufacturers selling goods abroad, there may be some issues with buyers becoming more reluctant to buy from China. The impact is not confined to China. International retailers have closed operations in China - the furniture seller Ikea and the coffee shop chain Starbucks, for example. Several overseas airlines have stopped flights to China and international hotel chains have been offering refunds. And beyond that, there is growing concern about integrated 42 February 2020 | www.smartgovernance.in