Education Sector Plan: Education for All: Embracing Change, Securing Finale | Page 26

Education for All: Embracing Change, Securing the Future Data on repetition and dropout are also instructive in homing in on access and participation challenges in compulsory education. As shown for 2013–2014, enrolment at the primary level is stable throughout each grade, however repetition is greatest in Kindergarten, which can likely be attributed to the significant number of students who are underage (23%) and may not have entered formal schooling with the ‘learning readiness skills’ needed for success in the early grades. At the secondary level, while repetition is generally low in Forms 1, 2, and 5 (2% each), it is higher in Form 3 (4%) and highest in Form 4 (7%), which contributes to the increasing share of the overage student body in Forms 3–5. Although the transition rate from lower to upper secondary is high at 99%, the repetition rates in Forms 3 and 4 presented above suggest that this transition can be difficult for some students. Figure 6: Student enrolment pyramid by grade, gender, and repeater conditions, 2013–2014 24 5th Form 4th Form 5 2nd Form 5th grade 2nd grade 1st grade Kindergarten Males – New students 442 8 0 386 403 7 367 371 356 1 385 367 3 372 31 377 –200 Males – Repeaters 1 1 2 423 362 459 –400 10 402 396 0 18 443 374 2 1 3rd grade –600 422 7 4th grade 40 455 469 7 8 428 434 17 7 6th grade Preschool 461 25 3rd Form 336 334 0 1 23 396 0 200 400 Females – New students 600 Females – Repeaters Source: EMIS data as depicted in UNICEF (2016), Graph 3. Nonetheless, there is diminishing enrolment between Forms 1 and 5, especially between Forms 4 and 5, as indicated in Figure 7. While a comprehensive cohort analysis has not yet been conducted, assuming cohorts of a stable size, the 22% gap in enrolment between Form 1 and Form 5 points to significant retention issues that ought to be explored and addressed. 15 In fact, data further indicate that for the 2013–2014 year, 1 out of 7 students aged 14 and older left secondary school before completing the cycle, and the dropout rate was 27% in Form 4 (GoSKN, 2014c; UNICEF, 2015). It should be noted, however, that the significant decline in enrolment between Form 4 and 5 is sanctioned by the MoE, as students in the lowest academic streams of Forms 4 are considered ‘school leavers’, since they are not expected to progress to Form 5 to take the Caribbean Examination Council (CXC) Caribbean Certification of Secondary Level Competence (CSEC Exams). 16 While data on the trajectories of out-of-school children have not been collected, EMIS data for 2014 indicate that out of the 229 students leaving school after Form 4 in 2013-2014, 183 (86 male and 97 female) or 80% were absorbed into remedial post-secondary programmes offered by the Advanced Vocational Education Centre (AVEC). Others were likely benefit from post-secondary ‘safety-net training’ provided through the MoE and Ministries of Social Development in St. Kitts and Nevis. 17 Considering both the significant expense and typically lower terminality rates of post-secondary level training, increasing retention rates and improving learning support in secondary education would be more sustainable and cost effective (UNESCO, 2014). 15. This indicator was not derived from a cohort analysis, but is a proxy for what the size of the fifth form should look like assuming stable cohorts at the level. 16. Students in the lowest academic streams in Form 4 attend school part time to complete academic subjects (English, Mathematics, and other topics that vary by school) and participate in a job attachment programme on a part-time basis. In St. Kitts, the school-to- work-based programme is the A’Ganar Programme, coordinated through the post-secondary National Skills Training Programme. In Nevis, individual secondary schools organize job attachments for identified students. 17. The social protection programmes MEND/RISE will strategically address some issues pertaining to school dropout in families (i.e. skill development, continuing education opportunities, access to employment, access to government assistance pending employment) and build on existing programmes in St. Kitts and Nevis. Existing programmes in Nevis include, but are not limited to, ‘Youth at Work’ and the ‘Second Chance Teen Mothers’ programme.