Education Review Issue 2 | March 2018 | Page 24

in the classroom Suicide and school grades Students who don't do well at school are far more likely to suicide later in life, a large study has found. Alexandra Martiniuk interviewed by Loren Smith I t’s the fatal phenomenon with silent symptoms. Now, there’s a clue that might help detect suicidal tendencies. A large longitudinal Swedish study found that those who performed poorly at school were five times more likely to suicide later in life, and that the worse their grades, the higher the risk. The researchers didn’t know why this was the case, though they hazarded some educated guesses. These included that good grades predict socioeconomic success and/or control over one’s life (and that the converse is true), that behavioural 22 | educationreview.com.au traits like impulsivity are associated with both bad grades and suicide, and that bad grades can lower self-esteem, which in turn can increase suicidality. Epidemiologist Alexandra Martiniuk, associate professor of child health at the University of Sydney and honorary senior research fellow with the George Institute for Global Health, is similarly unsure as to how academic struggle and suicide interact. Importantly, however, she confirmed that the interaction itself is supported by evidence from other studies – from the US, China and New Zealand. Education Review asked her whether she had her own hypotheses about it. ER: In the Swedish study, I understand that they found a link between people who performed badly academically in school and suicide later in life. Can you explain the nature of that link? AM: There’s been a question about whether cognitive ability – so that being described by IQ, or marks, and in this study that being described by GPA, or grade point average – was related to suicide. Previous studies hadn’t been able to tease this out. They did find that students who had lower grades in their departing year of high school – so they were 16 years of age in Sweden, and here they would be about the same or a bit older – were at greater risk of attempting suicide or showing up at a hospital with attempted suicide or self-harm. As an epidemiologist, I’m trained to critically analyse the methods of medical research studies and know what is a strong method and therefore what it tells you about the findings. And I think one thing that is important in this study is they found what we call a dose-response relationship, which basically helps you believe this to be true. They found that the poorer the grades, the more likely someone was to attempt suicide or successfully commit suicide. And as their grades went up, this relationship went down. So that basically shows you that this is probably a true relationship. Did they determine how strong that link was? Yes, they divided the grades into what they call quartiles, which is basically the bottom fourth. So the students who had the poorest grades in the bottom quarter were fivefold more likely to attempt a suicide, or to show up in a hospital for attempting suicide. They indicate in their limitations that there would be individuals who may