Disaster Safety Review 2013 Vol. 1 | страница 3

DATA COLLECTION IBHS completed its first hail field study in 2012. The findings from that research led to creation of the first-ever, full-scale indoor hailstorm in February 2013 at the IBHS Research Center. This year, the research team collected nearly three times as many hailstones as it did in 2012, including the largest hailstone recorded in the two-year project history, which measured 4.21 inches in diameter. While finding large hailstones was important, it is the amount of data collected on smaller hailstones that could help uncover the answers to many unknowns. “Bigger hailstones have a bigger mass, and will cause damage at impact because of that higher mass,” Brown says. “However, it’s when we get into the inch and inch-and-a-half diameter hail that we don’t know how the combination of hardness, size, and mass affect the amount of damage – and most storms produce hailstones that size, rather than the huge stones. The more we know about this kind of hail, the more accurately we can understand how buildings are damaged, and what can be done to prevent or reduce that damage.” IBHS research teams also observed and cataloged the types of hailstones commonly referred to as “slushy,” which will provide valuable data for recreating similar hailstones. This could help answer long-standing questions about the particular impact of this type of hailstone. “A slushy hailstone probably wouldn’t cause significant damage, but what kind of impact does this kind of hail have on an aged roof? We just don’t know yet,” says Giammanco. “Data on this type of hailstone are just as valuable as the hard hail data. Knowing the type of hailstones that are typically associated with a certain kind of storm and its environment will allow insurers to more accurately address claims.” In May, three staff members from State Farm joined IBHS researchers in the field, which made it possible to deploy two teams instead of one. “Having the extra manpower enabled us to collect and measure twice as many hailstones, and facilitated getting the broad spatial coverage that we did,” said Brown. State Farm™ has a long history of hail re­ search, said Rose Grant, State Farm pro­ gram director. She called the IBHS re­ search “critically important” and “really impressive,” adding that “the information gathered by the IBHS-led teams is data that no one has previously collected; it is providing new facts and details for us to consider.” DUAL-POLARIZATION RADAR The large collection of data during this field study will help create a more accurate picture of how hailstones vary by storm. These data will have significant and immediate impacts on the effectiveness of the National Weather Service’s (NWS) network of dual-polarization Doppler radars, says Brown. Although dual-polarization can greatly improve estimates of hail size and location, the mathematical formulas used to extract this information are still not perfect. Using data collected during IBHS’ field studies, the improved dual-polarization radar algorithms can narrow the range of uncertainty, which will greatly improve the weather forecast enterprise and event classification, and risk analyses conducted by the insurance industry. “The dual-pol radar can detect hail and what size it is, but that is something that you have to train the analysis computer to F