Diplomatist Magazine Diplomatist October 2019 | Page 38

SPOTLIGHT WILL THE ELEPHANT DANCE WITH THE DRAGON? BY DR. ARUNDHATI SHARMA* Introduction The 2800 km Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor (BCIM-EC), previously known as the Kunming Initiative, is seen as an important project connecting Kunming in China’s Yunnan Province to the Indian city of Kolkata, passing through Mandalay in Myanmar and Dhaka in Bangladesh. However, the slow progress of the project and its inclusion in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has been a cause of consternation since its formal establishment in 2013. Faced with such concerns, the 13th BCIM Forum held after four years hiatus in June 2019 in Yunnan Province of China provided a fresh lease of life to an otherwise tepid project. Signifi cance of BCIM-EC The signifi cance of BCIM-EC is manifold, having both economic and strategic implications. The economic corridor is an important development channel connecting the three sub- regions - South Asia, Southeast Asia and East Asia. Together, the BCIM region accounts for 9 percent of the world’s total landmass, 40 percent of its population and 7.3 percent of world gross domestic product. Besides enhanced transport connectivity, the project is also at the heart of the development of the blue economy and international maritime trade by providing access to the Bay of Bengal and the Indian Ocean. With such extensive connectivity, BCIM-EC is expected to boost regional integration process in the three sub-regions. From the Indian perspective, the project has enormous economic potential. If realised, the project would facilitate the cross-border movement of both people and goods, substantially reduce transaction costs, minimise informal trade and enhance trade and investment in the region. Most importantly, it is also one of the trans-regional growth corridors that would connect the remote areas of north-eastern states with the eastern neighbours. As such, the project would be a stepping stone towards the development of the north-eastern states and realising India’s Act East Policy. Strategically, the Source: Roshan Iyer, “BCIM Economic Corridor: Facilitating Sub-Regional Development”, IPCS Special Report No. #187, 38 • Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Diplomatist • Vol 7 • Issue 10 • October 2019, Noida