Diplomatist Magazine Diplomatist October 2019 | Page 18

companies. Indian fi lm producers from the South explored the beautiful locations of the Far East and could get a boost with this resolve and direction by the Indian Prime Minister. On his part, President Putin wants Indians to take a lead in exploring business opportunities for trade and investments as the regime framework for the investors is being liberalised. E-visa system was introduced some time back that would facilitate tourism from India. Given its declining population and the Chinese infl ux, Russians might want some semblance of diversity and balance. Hence the Indian workforce, especially skilled ones that has already made its mark from the Middle East to Africa to the western countries and is sought after, has been welcomed into the Far-East. A large Business delegation attended the EEF. Earlier Commerce & Industry Minister Piyush Goyal with four States’ Chief Ministers had led a delegation of 140 businessmen and industrialists. Hopefully, they would fi nd the extreme weather hospitable too as some of our compatriots have done for decades. Indications are right since 50 business-to-business (B2B) MoUs and agreements worth $ 5 bn were signed at the EEF apart from 15 government-to-government (G2G) pacts. A trade target of US $30 bn (from current $11 bn) has been set for 2025. One of the key outcomes was the roadmap for energy cooperation as mentioned by Foreign Secretary Vijay Gokhale, “We had a major breakthrough in the energy sector. This is a sector from where we are looking to diversify our sources of supply and we are increasingly fi nding it attractive to buy oil and gas from the Russian Federation. But one of the important outcomes of the visit of the minister of Petroleum and Natural gas last week was that we agreed on a road-map of cooperation in the next fi ve years in which we will concretely work on investments both ways. Indian investment in Russian fi elds, in exploration and exploitation, in the transportation of energy to India as well as Russian investments in India in the downstream sectors. We are looking at investing in additional oil fi elds in Russia in what is called the eastern cluster. We are also looking at sourcing energy and in this regard, President Putin has also acknowledged that there is a need for us to look at how they can supply Russian energy to India in a safe, secure and in a way in which costs are maintained.” This is extremely important in the context of on-going Persian Gulf Crisis. However, it will need the grit of the businesses on the two sides and the sincere resolve of both the governments right down to the operative levels to productively harness the opportunities to mutual advantage. The past is not a great example looking at the Super CEOs Round Table or so-called Business Councils where even Chairs can’t fi nd time to attend the meetings especially when the top leaders are not there. Similarly for government-driven approaches and announcements, especially in the Public-Private Partnership (PPP), matrix it is important that the offi cial representations of the two countries get into a mission mode to explain and advertise the real opportunities among the businesses across various regional clusters and how to go about it. One has seen the conferences and visits for far too long to produce the desired results but this time it should be doable with ‘Modi-Putin Combine’ at the helm of aff airs and all the right mix of ingredients present on the ground. Politically the relations probably are at their best as President Putin has met his match in Prime Minister Modi who takes decisions with clarity of purpose that was clearly evident in India going ahead with S-400 purchases and other deals despite US objections and sanctions and Russia articulating its clear support to India on the abrogation of Art 370 as “India’s internal matter”. Russia has been concerned with the increasing purchases of the US defence equipment and diversifi cation by India but that is the name of the game. Relations with the US have enriched and diversifi ed at a great pace. But both the US and Russia need to understand that as long as we have to contend with treacherous terrorism driven Pakistan and an adversarial China, India’s defence pie will keep on expanding. To quote from a diff erent context, ironically, Xi Jin Ping speaking of South Asia as, “there will be a place for both of them – Russia and America”. Both have fl irted with the Americans but like Trump’s America First Policy, India and Russia have to cater to their national interests too. Of course one cannot forget the ‘Dragon’ in the room that is all-pervasive, and the deeper engagement with Pakistan by Russia in strategic sectors, even if under the garb of Afghanistan, remain the points of concern. However, the epithets of “Brath (Brother) - Bhai” or “Biryoza (Birch) and the Banyan” (title of an authentic compendium on Indo-Russian relations by Vladimir Skosyerev published in 2002 and updated a decade later) used to display the inherent strength of the relationship must be calibrated to real-politic so as to avoid emotional hiccups since transactional relationships and diversifi cation of partnerships have become the norm in the international discourse. As long as there is “increasing trust” as mentioned by PM Modi in Vladivostok, Indo-Russia ties are bound to swing higher, rightly described as a Special and Privileged Strategic Partnership. The third decade of closer collaboration begins in the backdrop of great power game, especially in the context of Indo-Pacifi c where India is poised to play a bigger role.  * Author is a former Ambassador of India to Jordan, Libya and Malta and is the Distinguished Fellow, Vivekananda International Foundation This article was first published by Vivekananda International Foundation 18 • Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Diplomatist • Vol 7 • Issue 10 • October 2019, Noida