Diplomatist Magazine Diplomatist Oct-Nov 2018 | Page 45

IN FOCUS The extent of Pakistani military’s control over the economy is not limited to domestic sphere alone. It has become an important stakeholder in decisions related to the international trade and investment of Pakistan as well. In a series of interviews for our respective PhD research projects that were conducted with the stakeholders in Pakistan’s economy it was revealed that military actors in Pakistan have always cautioned against liberalizing trade with India with the fear that a pro-India lobby might emerge within Pakistan. The business community also recalled how behind closed doors political actors help them count the benefi ts of opening trade with neighboring economies such as India but in public, they play to the gallery and demands for liberal trade ties are never met. The very act of Pakistani military throwing its weight behind the CPEC is again a result of its security calculations where CPEC is being seen as a game changer one that can help Pakistan overcome its economic crisis and develop economically with help from all-weather ally China. As a result, Pakistani Army acted swiftly in covering up the graft allegations in CPEC after Panama leaks in order to make sure that it does not become a casualty of the exposé. A reiteration of this is the fact that the investments under CPEC were initially sought by the civilian leadership under Ex-PM Nawaz Sharif. However, military is quickly taking over the projects with even China showing more acceptance for the same. The military establishment is Pakistan is not only showing a preference for CPEC for sustenance and survival but it has also become a tool for the military to increase its existing stronghold over the economy. Ayesha Siddiqa in her book, “Military Inc” notes that the governments have encouraged the commercial interests of the military over the private enterprise. Subsidies and awarding of contracts are two ways in which government strengthens monopolistic tendencies of the military commercial establishment at the cost of the private sector players , she notes. CPEC has come as a step in a similar direction. The strategy employed by the military to overtake CPEC control from civilian leadership is same as the one which it has been using to gain control over domestic and foreign policymaking. It fi rst raises a rhetoric of security to seek a formal role in the execution of the projects and then bypasses the civilian government and makes sure that the decision-making power comes to rest with the military-bureaucratic complex. Military so far has been very eff ective in increasing its stake in the economy through the CPEC. At the institutional level military’s commercial interests have been organized into three key economic entities- Frontier Works Organization (FWO), Special Communications Organization (SCO) and National Logistics Cell (NLC). All three of them are a part of the projects under CPEC. Sometimes the need to rope in these entities owned by the military arises mainly due to concerns around security. For instance, the contract to build the Gwadar-Ratodero motorway was initially awarded to a Chinese construction fi rm but due to death of their engineers in a car blast, it was fi nally awarded to FWO which despite high number of casualties in militant attacks was able to complete the project in 2017. But the awarding of contracts through the so-called ‘open bidding’ process is also not free from allegations of favouritism. Recently funding to three major CPEC road projects was stopped by China over issue of corruption and a set of new guidelines were to be drafted. However, it is believed that it was just a ploy to benefi t the military’s engineering and construction arm, FWO. Similarly, NLC which is the most reputed fl eet operator in the country has become the nodal agency for execution of the National Trucking Policy, as a part of which it is undertaking an NLC Drivers and Emergency Rest Areas (DERA) project to set up parking and resting facilities at major locations just off the national highways. CPEC is reinforcing the very cocktail of suppression of human rights and consolidation of military’s control over the country’s societal fabric that has so far dominated the history of Pakistan. Case in point is the Thar Coal fi eld project. It was heralded as a solution to Pakistan’s grave energy problem when coal was discovered in the Thar desert in 1991. The quality of the coal deposit already ranks low thus the damage to the environment would be considerable in generating power using this new-found resource. At the same time, the project led to protests from the indigenous Thari community over damage to local ecology. The project is a part of CPEC but is being executed by a joint venture between Sindh Government and Engro Corporation. The security of the project has been ensured by the Special Security Division- a 15000 strong additional troops raised for the purpose of securing CPEC projects. In fact, Maj. Gen. Ahsan Gulrez, commanding offi cer of the SSD has stated in clear terms that any attempt to obstruct the progress of CPEC projects will be crushed during a visit to the coalmines. CPEC might be heralded as a game-changer by the civilian and military leadership in Pakistan alike. However even a cursory analysis reveals that it based on the very power dynamics that have dominated Pakistan’s political economy till now. The fact that China has a preference for authoritarian setup is a very worrying trend, one that will have ramifi cations for the entire region of South Asia. * Divya Anand, PhD Research Scholar, SIS, JNU ** Monica Verma, PhD Research Scholar, DIR, SAU Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Diplomatist • Vol 6 • Issue 10 • Oct-Nov 2018, Noida • 45