Diplomatist Magazine Diplomatist March 2019 | Page 51

SPOTLIGHT INDIA-VENEZUELA RELATIONS A CASE STUDY IN OIL DIPLOMACY BY HARI SESHASAYEE* I n light of U.S. sanctions imposed on PDVSA on 28 January 2019, Venezuelan oil exports to the United States have dried up, leaving a shortfall of up to 500,000 bpd that Venezuela exported to the United States before sanctions were imposed. In this scenario, the two private Indian oil companies that currently buy Venezuelan oil, RIL and Nayara Energy, have gradually increased their imports from Venezuela. For India, at least for the short term, Venezuela is only a supplier of oil. Besides oil, New Delhi does not see any other strategic imperative in engaging Caracas—it would be ill-advised for India to take any political policy position vis-à-vis Venezuela, especially regarding the ongoing political crises in the country. For Venezuela, and more specifi cally the current chavista regime, India is not an ideological ally and is unlikely to go out of its way to support Caracas in matters of state and foreign policy. India will remain an invaluable commercial partner for Caracas, as a buyer of oil and supplier of priceless foreign currency in a rapidly plummeting economy. In some ways, it is advantageous for both countries that the relationship is not burdened by ideology. This is unlike Venezuela’s allies China and Russia, who remain close to the current administration. But oil will continue to fl ow from Venezuela to India in roughly similar measures regardless of the party in power in either country. Oil, or more specifi cally, crude petroleum oil, is the cornerstone of India-Venezuela ties. The export of crude petroleum oil from Venezuela accounted for 98.54 percent of all India-Venezuela trade in 2017–18. Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) is the most important player in India-Venezuela trade, accounting for an overwhelming majority of Venezuelan crude oil imported by India. This is made possible due to the highly complex nature of RIL’s twin refi neries, which can process practically any grade of crude oil into gasoline or diesel. In 2012, RIL’s Executive Director PMS Prasad fl ew to Caracas to sign a long-term heavy crude oil supply contract with PDVSA. The terms: PDVSA will supply between 300,000 to 400,000 bpd of crude oil to RIL for 15 years. The RIL 2012–13 annual report notes that “the agreement provides RIL with security of supply and allows it to optimize around that supply while providing PDVSA a material Asian end user market.”24 Besides RIL, only one other Indian company, Essar Oil, currently buys Venezuelan crude oil, albeit in smaller Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Diplomatist • Vol 7 • Issue 3 • March 2019, Noida • 51