Diplomatist Magazine Diplomatist July 2018 | Page 29

COVER STORY President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping took offi ce. Although a high level meeting between President Trump and Chinese President Xi in May 2017 resulted in concessions made by China to increase the market access for a variety of U.S. products and services like beef, biotechnology products, credit rating services and electronic payment services, bilateral tensions increased with President Trump’s announcement of steel and aluminium import tariffs. Regardless of the fact that, already, more than 94 percent of U.S. steel imports from China are subject to U.S. trade restrictions, the new tariffs constitute a provocation for China, which is the world’s largest producer of steel and aluminium. China followed other countries that introduced retaliation measures against the U.S. and raised import tariffs up to 25 percent on a variety of U.S. products worth $3 billion. Another dispute between the U.S. and China has evolved over the protection of intellectual property rights. In March this year, President Trump announced that he will take action against China concerning the alleged theft of intellectual property. Following this announcement, in April 2018, the U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer presented a list of Chinese products worth $50 billion which are now subject to a 25 percent tariff. China reacted by announcing a similar list of products from the U.S. which will face tariffs. President Trump again responded immediately and ordered the Offi ce of the U.S. Trade Representative to prepare an additional list of products with tariffs on trade worth $200 billion. Trump’s trade policy and India President Trump has so far not targeted India directly with his protectionist policies. This is not a surprise, because India does not belong to the top-5 countries with which the U.S. has a trade defi cit. In fact, its defi cit with India is less than half the size of the one against Mexico. Nevertheless, the tariffs on steel and aluminium will also be levied on imports from India and will affect an estimated $241 million of trade fl ows from India. Moreover, there are likely to be indirect effects that India will suffer from in case of a trade war between the United States and China. Regarding the tariffs on steel and aluminium that the Trump administration has introduced, India decided to respond by increasing import tariffs on products coming from the U.S. with the intention to exert a corresponding effect on the latter. Therefore, India submitted a list of 30 items to the WTO on which it intends to increase tariffs by up to 50 percent on imports from the United States. They include, for example, motor cycles and specifi c iron and steel products. The tariff hike complements the retaliation of other countries hit signifi cantly by President Trump’s decision. It is also in line with the extent to which the other countries responded and is at a level that intends to create an equal implication on the United States. A potentially larger effect on India could result from the indirect effects of a trade war between the U.S. and China. Extraordinary and Plenipotentia ry Diplomatist • Vol 6 • Issue 7 • July 2018, Noida • 29