Diplomatist Magazine Africa Day Special 2018 | Page 13

ANNIVERSARY SPECIAL as in Africa.” Real GDP (5.2% per annum in Africa and 5.7 percent in Sub-Saharan Africa) in the past decade has grown by more than twice the rate in the 1980s and '90s. This growth, which is widespread in Sub-Saharan Africa, is expected to continue through till 2020. The study notes that this growth is a result of improved macroeconomic policies coupled with rapid expansion in sectors like tourism, banking, telecommunications, manufacturing, and agriculture. Africa's collective GDP is expected to touch $3.6 trillion in 2020, up from $2.1 trillion in 2011. This fi gure has unfortunately declined in recent years, mainly due to falling commodity prices, and was estimated to be at the same level in 2016. Africa's growing middle class, already expected to be bigger than India's, continues to boost consumption, construction and private investment. Combined consumer spending in Africa which was $860 billion in 2008, is expected to touch $1.4 trillion in 2020. Africa is the home base of twenty domestic companies with revenues of at least $3.0 billion each and over 100 companies have revenues exceeding $1.0 billion each. In the economic and commercial sphere, Africa is obviously a region India cannot afford to take lightly. India is among Africa's fourth or fi fth largest trading partner ($71.5 billion in 2014-15, which declined to $ 52 billion in 2016-17) after China, France, Germany, and the USA. Our exposure in terms of investments is also considerable, estimated to be about $60 billion cumulatively from April 1996 to March 2017. Even if we ignore all other reasons, bilateral trade and investment compel us to pay attention to the African market. Moreover, the basket of goods imported from Africa is dominated by commodities, particularly crude oil, gas, pulses and lentils, leather, gold and other metals, all of which we lack in suffi cient quantities back home and the diverse sources in Africa provide some protection against the vulnerability of depending on just one to two regions for the supply of such commodities. Indian exports of manufactured products 2018 • Africa Day Special • 9