December 2018 Handle with care | Page 29

Special report: Arbitration Rise in dispute resolution work in Mexico anticipated following cancellation of $14bn airport project Investors concerned that incoming government may put up obstacles to existing and future investment, but concerns may be assuaged by manner in which new government treats contractors There could be sharp rise in dispute resolution work for lawyers in Mexico in the coming months after the new government of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador took office on 1 December. The new administration has already caused concern among investors with the decision, following a public consultation, to cancel the project to build the capital city’s new airport, a $14 billion ‘mega project’ that is already underway. “The cancellation of the project for the construction of the new airport, one of the three largest airport infrastructure projects in the world, has unleashed a period of uncertainty among companies due to the imminent cancellation of the related public contracts,” says Claus von Wobeser, founding partner at Von Webeser y Sierra. “We don’t know if there will be disputes regarding the contracts awarded for the airport’s construction, but it is a very complex issue,” he adds. “The decision to cancel the airport project has been taken, but legally there are various ways the contracts can be terminated, but we don’t yet know how that will happen,” Von Wobeser says. “The contracts might be modified so that works can be undertaken at the alternative airport site of Santa Lucía, but it is not yet clear in what way,” he explains in reference to López Obrador’s proposal to expand the nearby Santa Lucía military base. The incoming government is expected to either pay compensation to contractors for the cancellation of their contracts, or offer new contracts for works related to the alternative airport plan. However, nothing can be assured until formal legal action is taken by the incoming government, Von Wobeser says, and only then will affected companies be able to analyse their legal options. In addition to infrastructure, energy is another sector which generates many arbitration cases (related to both commercial and investment disputes) in Latin America. This trend is expected to continue, particularly as López Obrador announced during his campaign that he will review all the contracts awarded to date in Mexico’s oil and gas auctions to determine whether or not there was www.thelatinamericanlawyer.com corruption involved. “We are in agreement with that decision, as one of his main campaign pledges was to tackle corruption, and that is very important,” Von Wobeser says. “I don’t think there was corruption in the oil and gas rounds, the hydrocarbons commission (CNH) did an impeccable job, but we’ll have to wait and see. There is a lot of speculation, and while it is likely there will be disputes, there may also be settlements between the parties before they resort to arbitration.” Claus von Wobeser Investor concern Von Wobeser says that there is concern among investors about whether the incoming government will be an obstacle to existing and future investment, but adds that their concerns may possibly be assuaged by the way the new government treats the contractors involved in the airport project, and whether it sufficiently compensates those affected. “Nobody wants a fight, everybody will want to reach an agreement with the government,” he says. “But we have to see how the government acts. It could be a very negative signal to investors. It is a cause for concern.” Another factor that may lead to more arbitration in Mexico is the fact that contracts between the private sector and state-owned companies, such as Pemex, and state utility CFE contain arbitration clauses. However there are few contracts with such clauses in relation to the airport project, Von Wobeser says. “The government draws up the contracts and includes an arbitration clause because they know that foreign investors prefer to engage in arbitration rather than having to resort to the Mexican legal system,” he adds. In addition, arbitration is often necessary because, particularly in large- scale infrastructure projects, there are often many parties involved. Mexico is currently engaged in a natural gas pipeline expansion programme, and with the energy reform having ushered in private investment into the oil and gas and electric power sectors, a further increase in the number of arbitration cases is anticipated. December 2018 • THE LATIN AMERICAN LAWYER • 27