CV NorthWest Dec 2013 | Page 15

because people started holding on to old cars instead of getting new ones. Add in a variable like high gas prices and in the past five years we've seen crazy things happen, like the value of a used Prius topping that of a new one, and diesel VW Jettas commanding nearly new-Jetta pricing. All of it has to do with carmakers being very careful with supply. The Fuzzy Math of Leasing Ricky Beggs of Black Book explains that high residual value not only favors frequent buyers and sellers (or leasers), it also favors the dealer. Let's consider Mercedes again. The automaker is fighting for prestige in the luxury marketplace, and that means the company would prefer a tighter supply. So, for instance, Mercedes might offer its dealers an incentive to buy back current leaseholders' cars a few months early and give them the same lease rate on next year's model, especially at the start of a new model's life cycle. This has two effects. One, it tightens supply of that new model, in effect goosing demand so new customers have to pay a little more. Two, it increases the stocks of CPO cars the dealer has on hand. But doesn't that second factor depress the marketplace, since it leads to more pre-owned cars sitting around? Not quite. That leasebuyback car the dealer gets on his lot a little early when he puts the customer in a brand-new C-Class increases the dealer's cash flow. He sells a lease on a brand-new C-Class, presumably with money down. And that tightened supply means the "value" of that car is probably higher, too, so the check the dealer gets from the bank/finance arm is fatter. As for the leased car that's now a couple of years old: It comes offlease, goes into the CPO program, and the bank probably pays the dealer for its remaining value, since most customers finance their cars and pay back the bank over time. Remember: Either the dealer or the bank (usually a captive finance arm) actually owned the car while the customer leased and drove it. If the bank owns the car, they sell it back to the dealer or to another dealer and pay back that difference to themselves once the car comes off-lease. If the dealer holds the paperwork, then they pay the bank back for the difference and move the car through their CPO program, paying themselves back. Either way, the lessee is just making a monthly payment on the projected depreciation of that car, plus interest. ????????????????)?????????????????????????????)?????????????????????????)???????????)???????????????????????)?????????????????????????????)e????????????????????????)???????????????????????????)??????????????????????????????????????????????????????)???????? ????????????????????????????????????????????)???????????????????????????)????????????????????????????????????????????????????)?????????1???????????????????????)??????????????????????????)?????????????????????????)Q????????????????????????????)??????????????????????????????)??????????????????????????)???????????????????)]?????????????????)???????????????????? ?????)???????????????????????????)????????????????????????????)?????????????????????????)?????????????????????????????)????((