CPABC Industry Update - Fall 2015 | Page 10

A somewhat smaller share of total economic activity should not be interpreted as meaning that forestry’s economic importance to BC has passed. The true picture is more complicated. Forestry... (cont’d) Forest Sector GDP, Provinces & Selected States* billions, $ Cdn** & Selected States* Forestry Sector GDP Provincial BC Quebec Georgia Washington Ontario Alabama Oregon S. Carolina Arkansas Louisiana Alberta Mississippi Atlantic Provs. Alaska Sask. N. Dakota Manitoba The forest products cluster makes an outsized contribution to the province’s overall prosperity. Some data and comparative metrics help to underscore this point. BC is the biggest source of softwood lumber in Canada. In 2013, BC’s production was 12.7 billion board feet of lumber, representing just over half of Canada’s total softwood lumber production. The vast majority of this production is shipped to other countries, with around 53% of exported lumber going to the United States, 25% to China, 13% to Japan, and smaller shares to other markets. BC is also home to three of the four largest forest products companies in North America. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 ** Provinces are average levels 2011-2013, states are average levels 2011-2012. ** Average exchange rates for each year are near parity so no currency adjustments are made. Source: Statistics Canada and US Bureau of Economic Analysis. Figure 3 Forest Sector GDP as a Share of Provincial & Selected State GDP* Forestry GDP as a Share Provincial & Selected State GDP* % ofof total GDP 3.40 BC Arkansas Alabama Quebec Oregon Mississippi S. Carolina Georgia Washington Louisiana Atlantic Provs. Alberta Alaska Ontario N. Dakota Sask. Manitoba 2.00 1.26 0 1 2 3 4 * Provinces are average shares 2011-2013, states are average shares 2011-2012. Broadening our comparisons to include the US and looking at value-added economic output, BC’s forest sector stands out as the largest in North America (Figure 3). In considering the proportional size of the forest products sector, forestry looms even larger in BC than in other jurisdictions. In recent years, forestry’s direct contribution to, or share of, the provincial economy has been ~3.5%. Among relevant US states and other provinces, the next largest share is in Arkansas (2.7% of total state GDP). In Quebec, whose economy is larger than BC’s, forestry accounts for a more modest 2% of provincial GDP. To summarize, BC’s forest products cluster is the largest in North America in both absolute and proportional terms. When governments ponder economic development strategies, the starting point is frequently to identify the industries where a jurisdiction already has a comparative advantage. Both historically and today, BC has a substantial comparative advantage in the forest products sector and related downstream activities. Thus, it makes good economic sense for government to take steps to nurture and support the sector. Employment is another important measure. Forestry directly employs more than 63,000 individuals in the province.4 Those who work full-time in the sector receive hourly wages and employment incomes that are well above the all-industry average. Source: Statistics Canada and US Bureau of Economic Analysis. Figure 4 4 BC Forest Industry: Economic Impact Study, MNP, LLP. (January 2015). page 10 | I N D U S T R Y U P D AT E