CONTEMPORARY EURASIA VOLUME VIII (1) ContemporaryEurasia81 | Page 98

TERRITORIAL AUTONOMY AND SECESSION AS STRATEGIES OF CONFLICT … possibility of solving their problems, the conflict gains the potential to radicalize and turn into a secessionist war 44 . In a similar vein, Gokcek argues that when the host state seeks to maintain its territorial integrity, it raises the stakes, resulting in hostility and, in case of irredentism, potentially an interstate war. 45 If such processes unfold along ethnic lines, then “the number of alternatives for conflict resolution becomes even more limited”. 46 John Coakley identifies four categories of progressively intensifying demands of ethnic minorities addressed to the host state – equality of citizenship, cultural rights, institutional political recognition and, ultimately, secession. 47 Formally, the NKAO has delivered on the first three demands, falling short of secession. However, as has been demonstrated in the previous section, the realization of the formally assumed obligations left much to be desired. In this regard, having artificial territorial autonomy, Armenians in the NKAO and in the Armenian SSR simultaneously had demanded genuine autonomy and recognition during the Soviet era, even though Karabakh formally had them. Armenian-Azerbaijani relations regarding the NKAO, particularly the Armenian demands to Azerbaijani and Soviet central authorities, resemble Coakley’s pattern of escalation into secessionist demands 48 as an end goal based on the principle of self-determination that would have “allow[ed] the minority to be incorporated in a neighbouring state”. 49 This trend is demonstrated in the demands to the Armenian SSR leadership (1926- 1927) 50 , in the demands from Yerevan to unite the NKAO with the Armenian SSR (1945, 1949), several petitions for unification (mid-1960s) and other appeals (1967, 1977). 51 The repeated failure of Soviet authorities to address these demands 52 contributed to the toxification of the conflict, leading to the clashes in the late 1980s’. The appeals intensified with the introduction of Gorbachev’s glasnost and perestroika that gave the nationalities wider grounds to articulate their demands that had already started to surface in the Khrushchev era. Relative tolerance for exercising 44 Anderson, “The Institutional Basis of Secessionist Politics”. 3. Gigi Gokcek, “Irredentism versus Secessionism: The Potential for International Conflict”, Nationalism and Ethnic Politics, 17:3, (2011): 280. 46 Pokalova, “Conflict Resolution in Frozen Conflicts: Timing in Nagorno-Karabakh”. 47 John Coakley, “The Territorial Management of Ethnic Conflict”, Special Issue of Regional Politics and Policy Vol. 3, No. 1, (1993): 4-7. 48 Coakley assigns demands for irredentism to the spectrum of degrees of secessionism. Our preference for term “secession” instead of “irredentism” derives from this logic, and does not attempt to underestimate the role of Armenian SSR and its successor. 49 Coakley, “The Territorial Management of Ethnic Conflict”, 7. 50 Libaridian ed., “An eyewitness account of events in 1920’s by a refugee from Mountainous Karabakh to Iran” in The Karabakh File, 40. 51 Libaridian ed., The Karabakh File, 42-48. 52 Elizabeth Fuller, “Moscow Rejects Armenian Demands for Return of Nagorno Karabakh,” Radio Liberty Research Bulletin, 91/88 (February 29, 1988): 2. apud Stuart J. Kaufman, Ethnic Fears and Ethnic War in Karabakh, (Lexington: University of Kentucky, 1998), 21. 45 98