CONTEMPORARY EURASIA VOLUME VIII (1) ContemporaryEurasia81 | Page 96

TERRITORIAL AUTONOMY AND SECESSION AS STRATEGIES OF CONFLICT … been steadily growing since Karabakh’s integration into the Azerbaijani SSR. This tendency may have led to the loss of demographic lead of the titular ethnicity within the institutional design established out of ethnic considerations. In the perceptions of the Karabakh Armenians, the fear of such a scenario was particularly sensitive due to the Nakhichevan experience, where in the 1980’s Armenians had become almost extinct. The demographic change can be explained as a combination of several factors, including emigration of the Armenians due to discriminatory policies, the high birth rate of Azerbaijani population, and the replacement of those Armenians in rural areas with Azerbaijani newcomers. 37 This demographic threat contributed to the rise of tensions between the two polities and increased the demands of the Armenian elites to unite the region with the Armenian SSR. On the other hand, some analysts argue that the policies did not have discriminatory intentions. 38 Nevertheless, regardless of their real motives, the outcomes of the economic, political and cultural policies of the NKAO exacerbated the perceptions of discrimination among Karabakh Armenians. Considering the above-mentioned conditions, we can deduce that the autonomous status of Nagorno Karabakh did not serve the objectives for which such autonomies are granted. Moreover, it is hard to see substantial advantages granted to the local ethnicity provided by the region’s status. Instead, its people were subjected to discriminatory policies. Such federal institutions usually require special group-specific rights in order to accommodate the local population. In the NKAO, the institutionalization of the region to a large extent served the opposite goal. In this regard, the specific rights of NKAO Armenians can be termed as negative group rights – a condition provided by formal administrative separation based on arbitrary group criteria that creates ground for informally allocating those minorities a disadvantageous socio-political role than the notion of equal citizenship should guarantee. All in all, considering the institutional design of the NKAO as a self-ruling entity and tracing the roots of secessionism (see next section) to its formal setting would be misleading. While we agree that the structure and bodies of the USSR and Soviet Azerbaijan may have played out during mobilization, we argue that the content and the day-to-day realizations of negative group rights played a more important role in causing secessionism rather than the autonomous design of the entity per se. In sum, the application of half-hearted territorial autonomy as a strategy to resolve the inter-ethnic conflict between Armenians and Azerbaijanis of Nagorno Karabakh ultimately did not bring about sustained peace or provide the means of political, economic and cultural autonomy to the local Armenians. Even though the strategy as a whole failed, policies of this period intensified the inter-ethnic strife in the late 1980’s, it is important to note that during the 37 38 Yamskov, “Ethnic Conflict in the Transcausasus”, 646-647. Ibid, 641. 96