CONTEMPORARY EURASIA VOLUME VIII (1) ContemporaryEurasia81 | Page 51

MAXIMILIAN OHLE, RICHARD J. COOK, ZHAOYING HAN & RYSBEK MAMAZHANOV Recalling the ancient Silk Road spirit, China is seemingly attempting to re- establish a form of radial regional hierarchy – Central Asia being a focus – through the use of economically orientated bargains, primarily based on energy security. 22 This signals a fundamental shift from its decades-old “keeping a low profile” stance, to a “regional power with global ambitions” and furthered by the desire to “take initiatives to shape its environment in a favourable direction”. 23 Considering these developments, David A. Lake argues that China has been seeking to legitimise its power capabilities to expand its influence along and beyond its borders, including Central Asia, demonstrating its dedication to retaining a regional hegemonic position. 24 The age-old “Great Game”, originally referred to the Russo-British geopolitical rivalry, has long dominated notions of great power competition between various regional hegemons in the Eurasian heartlands, driven by the geopolitical expansion of influence in this region. As stated by Alexander Cooley, “Central Asia has been viewed as an arena of high-stakes geopolitical sparring, while its location at the crossroads of multiple empires has subjected it to a rich array of pressures, influences, and cultures”. 25 A “Contemporary Great Game” nevertheless has different ramifications. As Russia views itself as a legitimate successor to the dominant Eurasian position, traditional IR thought would consider China, with its briskly expanding relative capabilities and its encroaching BRI programs as a significant opposition. 26 Here, typical patterns of power shift generally fall around either (1) rivalry, often illustrated as a Thucydides Trap or (2) peaceful change, both potentially inferring at a clash of hierarchies. However, due to the Sino-Russian entente, there is the insinuation that (3) economic zonal cooperation is also a major theme surrounding the 22 Alessandro Arduino, China’s Private Army. Protecting the Silk Road (Singapore: Palgrave Macmillan, 2018), 69-72, 76. 23 Yan Xuetong, “From Keeping a Low Profile to Striving for Achievement”, Chinese Journal of International Politics, Vol. 7, No. 2 (April 2014): 153-184. As for Chinese assertiveness, see Alastair Iain Johnston, “Is China a Status Quo Power?”, International Security, Vol. 27, No. 4 (2003), 5-56; Thomas J. Christensen, “The Advantages of an Assertive China”, Foreign Affairs, Vol. 90, Issue 2 (March/April 2011); Andrew Scobell and Scott W. Harold, “An Assertive China? Insights from Interviews”, Asian Security, Vol. 9, No. 2 (2013): 111-131; Alastair Iain Johnston, “How New and Assertive is China’s New Assertiveness?”, International Security, Vol. 37, No. 4 (2013), 7-48; Aaron L. Friedberg, “The Sources of Chinese Conduct: Explaining Beijing’s Assertiveness”, The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 37, No. 4 (2015): 133-150; Oriana Skylar Mastro, “Why Chinese Assertiveness is Here to Stay“, The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 37, No. 4 (Winter 2015): 151-170; Björn Jerdén, “The Assertive China Narrative: Why It is Wrong and How so Many Still Bought into It”, The Chinese Journal of International Politics, Vol. 7, No. 1 (2014): 47-88. 24 David A. Lake, “Domination, Authority, and the Forms of Chinese Power”, The Chinese Journal of International Politics, Vol. 10, No. 4 (Winter 2017): 357-382. 25 Alexander Cooley, Great Games, Local Rules. The New Great Power Contest in Central Asia (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2012), 3-4. 26 A. F. K. Organski, World Politics (New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 1964), 10; Robert Gilpin, War and Change in World Politics (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1981), 186-210. 51