Connection Summer 2014 | Page 10

GRAIN POV UPDATE RECAPS COTTON Paying off Cotton basis on the rise World harvest expected to exceed global use t Sorghum shaking up the food market f By Joe Kelley or the first time in the 15 years I have been going to South Texas, I saw dry land yellow corn in Sarita, Texas, (halfway between Kingsville and Raymondville) — and the crop looked surprisingly good, especially given the way the area has looked for the past couple of years — plenty of sand, mesquite and sandspurs. This is the most vivid example of the positive, dramatic change that has come to the Coastal Bend and Lower Rio Grande Valley over the past several months. Timely and plentiful rains have transformed the normally harsh environment into a scene that looks more representative of the area around El Campo. The 10 inches or more of rain that we have received over this second to last weekend in May have gone a long way in bringing the crops along and making a dent in the rainfall deficit for the year. The crops from Wharton and points south and west to through Corpus, Robstown and the lower Rio Grande Valley are all looking good. Reports from the two closest Mexican states (Tamaulipas and Nuevo Leon) are anticipating strong sorghum crops this year as well. Obviously, with all of the South Texas crops looking as good as they do, and not wanting to jinx the outcome, this coming harvest is expected to be one of big yields, long truck lines at export houses and a tight supply of trucks for harvest. Thankfully, last year United Ag was able to place a dryer and wet tanks at the Port of Victoria location. The added capability and capacity provided 10 A Cheerios variety features sorghum, and another major cereal manufacturer will be following suit. shorter turns for area farmers who no longer had to worry about going to Hillje or Danevang if they had high moisture grain. This year, we expect that capacity and capability to pay off again if high moisture grain exists. The National Sorghum Checkoff, U.S. Grains Council and Texas Sorghum Producer’s hosted the Export Sorghum conference in Houston earlier this month. The focus of the event was to bring in the top 25 sorghum buyers from across the globe to Texas to meet exporters of grain sorghum. Companies from Spain, China, Japan and Mexico were in attendance, along with U.S. trading companies who sell to these regions. Asia came on strong in the past year or so as major buyer of grain sorghum. The Chinese especially have driven a lot of the excitement for grain sorghum across a variety segments: from a feedstock for their liquor (wine) industry, to a major ingredient in poultry, swine and duck feed rations. And while all of the “export” business is exciting and worthwhile, what I think the most interesting segment is what we are and will be seeing in the human consumption areas here in the United States. As mentioned in the previous edition of Connection, grain sorghum is in the peanut butter flavored multi-grain variety of Cheerios. Another major cereal manufacturer is expected to include grain sorghum in one of its mainstay varieties. Why is grain sorghum coming on so strong in the U.S. now? Well, it seems as if hard work of the various grain sorghum programs and agencies is beginning to pay off and gain traction with the buyers — and the consumer. These programs and agencies cite that grain sorghum is: an ancient grain, non-GMO, gluten free and extremely high in antioxidants. As for antioxidants, blueberries have an ORAC level of between 87 and 870. Brown sorghum bran has a ORAC level of between 2,400 and 3,100. One company in particular, Nu Life Market, a milling company out of Scott City, Kansas, is the forerunner in the development of various specialty sorghum flours, including pearled, black, white and burgundy. Nu Life has a vertically integrated approach to its product. The integration starts with the farmer, whom Nu Life contracts directly to grow a specific variety and type of grain sorghum. The next step is that the grain sorghum is only harvested by equipment that is used to harvest grain sorghum, and that particular variety of grain sorghum on top of that. Obviously, like in any milling operation, a great deal of attention is given to the cleanliness of the mill, the milling operation and the packaging process. Given NuLife’s commitment to sorghum flour, I look for them to grow as an industry leader in sorghum destined for the food market. By Sally Andel he USDA reported a reduction in production for the upcoming crop year and an increase in consumption. However other sources suggest the U.S. is expected to produce 1.6 million bales more than last year. The world cotton harvest is expected to exceed global mill use. Worldwide, the largest change in production is expected in China, where limited application of their new grower support program is expected to result in lower planted acreage. It is estimated that China will have a crop 2.5 million bales smaller than last year. India and Australia are also expected to have a decrease in production. West Texas received some much needed rains. This should mean a lot to local farmers in that area. It seems that if it’s going to rain in West Texas it is going to happen Memorial Day weekend. This also has shown a significant increase in our basis. The December cotton future has been as high as .8474 in early May and its recent low has been approximately .7700. Most analysts believe that there isn’t a lot of room for improvement. Hopefully the basis will decrease at harvest and we will be able to sell at a decent price. We will again be using the PCCA bookkeeping