Community Bankers of Iowa Monthly Banker Update November 2013 | Page 19

This month bankers were also asked to gauge the impact of partial federal government shutdown on the area economy. Approximately 25.9 percent assessed that the impact was negative while the remaining 74.1 percent reported little or no impact from the shutdown. from 51.8 in September. Minnesota’s farmland-price index rose to a weak 48.3 from September’s 39.5. The new-hiring index expanded to 46.3 from September’s 43.6. According to Pete Haddeland, CEO of First National Bank in Mahnomen, “Crops look good but yields are down a little. Good harvest.” Home and retail sales: The October home-sales index declined to a still solid 58.0 from September’s 60.2. The October retailsales index rose to 52.6 from 49.2 in September. “With the uncertainty surrounding the Washington Congressional deliberations, I was surprised to see retail sales move higher. The Rural Mainstreet housing market continues to rebound at a healthy pace,” said Goss. Missouri: The October RMI for Missouri declined to a still solid 55.4 from September’s 56.8. The farmland-price index for October sank to 63.2 from September’s 81.0. Missouri’s new-hiring index expanded to 73.9 from September’s 71.3. Illinois: The RMI for Illinois advanced to 54.1 from September’s 52.2. The RMI has now remained at or above growth neutral for 13 straight months. Farmland prices slumped to 43.1 from 46.2 in September. The state’s new-hiring index rose to 50.4 from September’s 47.7. According to Jim Ashworth, vice chairman of CNB Bank & Trust in Carlinville, “Grain crop yields are still being reported as ‘good’, although the corn did not dry down as far as desired due to a relatively cool growing season.” Iowa: The September RMI for Iowa climbed to 55.3 from September’s 53.4. The farmland-price index for October fell to 50.6 from 53.2 in September. Iowa’s new-hiring index for October rose to 55.4 from September’s 52.7. Minnesota: The October RMI for Minnesota expanded to 53.7 Nebraska: After moving below growth neutral for January, Nebraska’s Rural Mainstreet Index has been above growth neutral for nine straight months. The October RMI increased to 54.9 from 53.0 in September. The farmland-price index for October dipped to 45.5 from September’s 48.1. Nebraska’s new-hiring index stood at 51.9, which was up from 49.3 in September. Bill McQuillan, president of CNB Community Bank in Greeley, said, “The Early 2013 soybean harvest yields are 10 to 15% above historical averages. Local cattle prices continue to be very, very strong and positive for our local producers.” South Dakota: The October RMI for South Dakota sank to 48.7 from September’s 55.7. The farmland-price index for the state for October was unchanged from September’s 49.8. South Dakota’s new-hiring index for October expanded to 54.8 from 52.2 in September. According to David Callies, CEO of Miner County Bank in Howard, “Harvest is going well with yields about average. Government shut down continues to be a big problem.” Table 1: Rural Mainstreet Economy Last Two Months and One Year Ago: (index > 50 indicates expansion) Tables 1 and 2 summarize survey findings. September 2013 October 2013 Area economic index 56.6 52.4 54.3 Loan volume 44.2 73.5 64.7 Checking deposits 66.7 56.3 48.3 Certificates of deposit and savings instruments 42.0 43.8 35.4 Farmland prices 71.7 54.0 50.9 Farm equipment sales 60.5 48.3 44.6 Home sales 59.8 60.2 58.0 Hiring 51.5 53.2 56.1 Retail business 48.6 49.2 52.6 Confidence index (area economy six months out) This survey represents an early snapshot of the economy of rural, agriculturally and energy-dependent portions of the nation. The Rural Mainstreet Index (RMI) is a unique index covering 10 regional states, focusing on approximately 200 rural communities with an average population of 1,300. It gives the most current real-time analysis of the rural economy. Goss and Bill McQuillan, CEO of CNB Community Bank of Greeley, Neb., created the monthly economic survey in 2005. October 2012 50.7 46.1 44.7 Table 2: The Rural Mainstreet Economy, O ?????????)A?????????????????????????)M?????????????)??????()M????????A????????????????????????????)????????????????????-???????a0??????????()A???????????((??((????((???((??()%?????????????()%???????????()9????????()????????((??((????((???((????((???()????????????()]????????????????????????????????????(????????()1????????????????()%?????????????()!??????????????????????????????)?????????????????()9?????()e??()9?????()9?()?????????((???((????((???((????()9??????????((?((??()????????????????((??((0