Commercial Investment Real Estate Winter 2020 | Page 20

CCIM Q&A By Larry Guthrie A GAME-CHANGING YEAR AHEAD 2020 CCIM Institute President Eddie D. Blanton, CCIM Eddie D. Blanton, CCIM, is principal and senior adviser with Tradd Commercial in Charlotte, N.C., and the 2020 CCIM Institute President. A native of Charlotte, he began his career more than 23 years ago as a leasing agent and property manager before moving into retail and investment brokerage. We spoke with Blanton about the in- dustry and his goals for the institute in the coming year. CIRE: WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE BIG- GEST CHALLENGES FOR COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE IN 2020? BLANTON: Today’s challenges remain the same as they were in 2019. It’s the unfore- seen outside influences that could possi- bly affect commercial real estate in 2020. There is so much uncertainty out there with the election year, trade tariffs, and other global issues. We will not know the magni- tude of their individual or collective effects on CRE until something actually happens. 18 COMMERCIAL INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE MAGAZINE As a result, I believe that we are going to remain in a wait-and-see mindset. CIRE: WHAT MARKET SECTORS DO YOU SEE EXCELLING AND WHICH WILL STRUGGLE THIS YEAR? BLANTON: Multifamily and industrial ware- house markets will continue to lead the way in 2020. These are such strong sectors within our industry today, and I see that continuing into 2020. Although it pains me to say this, I believe that retail will continue to slow down and remain the dark cloud in 2020. It pains me because I personally specialize in retail. This sector will continue to see a changing of the guard as longtime traditional stores close and the new retail concepts continue to emerge. Look for office to continue to have issues, as well. Overall, investment trans- actions will be slowing down as about 90 percent of all buyers are chasing value-add deals — deals which probably represent only 10 percent of what’s available today. CIRE: DO YOU ANTICIPATE THE PRES- IDENTIAL ELECTIONS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTING THE INDUSTRY? BLANTON: Yes. Historically, we have seen our industry remain somewhat flat during the election years. But given the current polarizing state of politics and the behaviors resulting from this polarization, I believe you’ll see people getting overwhelmed trying to figure out what’s actually the truth and what’s not. And that kind of environment is rife for creating uncertainty and trust issues with the general public. When the “warm and fuzzy” feelings about the U.S economy disappear, it will impact all of us. CIRE: HOW WILL CCIM INSTITUTE PREPARE ITS MEMBERS FOR THESE UPCOMING CHALLENGES? BLANTON: CCIM Institute’s history is one of always looking forward, identifying the po- tential issues, and providing its members with WINTER 2020